Featured

Why Hertz Calls On A Early Thursday Afternoon Don't Work

First the chart. On paper it looks like this chart could rebound. Here is one series of it's "in-the-money" Calls. Here are three reasons why this situation is to dangerous to play. 1) There is a Avis Budget Group Inc. implosion happening today. A really big one. Read my previous blog. That's not directly related to this company but it makes the sector a bad space to be in. 2) The "bid-and-ask" spread is to far apart which helps to give the market makers some extra insurance. That plus the volume of trading is very light which also seems to give the house an advantage. Look Walmart.The spread is about the same but you can split the middle without affecting the "bids-and-asks" and the volumes are so much better. I like trading in that kind of space better. 3) Hertz is not the kind of company which comes out with daily or weekly updates. Contrast this to the stock Ford which seems to have good and bad news coming out every other day. With Ford so...
Post a Comment

Five Day vs One Day Charts. Do Looking A Five Day Charts Give Traders An Edge On What To Expect On The Following Day?

Here are three examples that might help answer this question. Yet we are not talking about any five day period. We are talking about a five day period with the last day in that week being a Friday. That's the day of the week when many options series expire. First a look at a five day and one day chart of Home Depot.
So a perky looking chart formation which is going upwards on a Thursday (Dec 5th) keeps on going upwards on a Friday. Look at one series of it's Call option action below. Very light trading and very little interest. Get in on the upside during the morning small dip on Friday morning and get out at a profit anytime later in the day.
Sticking with Home depot did it's one week out Call options share in a similiar Call option experience? Here are next weeks Calls with the same striking price.
Not really as they jumped 26% on the day versus the 68% increase on the "one-day" options. ..................................................................................................................................................2) Caterpillar. First it's five day chart (which includes Fridays trading) and then it's one day chart.
Now the options.
A big upward swing happened after 12:30 p.m. Would you have the nerve to be buying in this late in the trading session? Caterpillar was on a terror all week. 3) Visa. First it's five day and one day chart.
Look at how these Calls jumped.
What's the bottom line in answering this question? In the case of Visa having access to it's five day chart better helped in recognizing an oversold situation. With Caterpillar the trajectory was up everyday. With Home Depot an oversold situation was somewhat apparent. Yes, in some ways five day charts five day charts have some relevancey in helping to make decisions going forward. :: Deere shuld be added to this list. The stock rolled over on Friday.
The end.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more