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Why The Appeal Of Trading Caterpillar Call Options Is Now Diminishing

In previous blogs I looked at Caterpillar spiking upwards through the $1,000.00 barrier for the very first time. Twenty and thirty and forty dollar daily jumps on the stock were the norm. Today we are entering more sobering times. Pundits are now commenting on the upcoming release on August 4th of Caterpillar's quarterly earning report. That is not far away. The stock has doubled in price in a relatively short period of time. Is the party over? Look at Caterpillars one year chart. The companies earnings have not doubled in the last year. Far from it. So now what? Buy a Put option thirty days out in the hopes the stock might drop ten percent on a more normalized earning's report? Maybe. Here is an example of the cost of what one of these Puts would look like. Given it's current bid and ask the stock would have to drop to the $1,005.00 just to break even. It could, however most active option day traders are seeking opportunities which can play out in hours or in a day. Case...
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Polestar

Remember Polestar and it's recent reverse stock split? It was a 1-for-30 reverse stock split effective December 9th 2025. Now it is rebounding back upwards.
But wait, the option makers are making sure use can't use these short term options as a way to play it. Look at this, options on it that expire at the end of this week.
No volume, no open interest and a crazy wide bid and ask. What about it's further out Calls? Here is one series further out.
Last at $3.30. They are priced reasonably. Four month buys you a lot of time. Now look at these other four EV companies over the last 90 days.
Given the volatility in all of these options maybe Polestar's four month out, just slighty "out-of-money" options do have some creditability. **Now the same Polestar Call options one day later.
*** Now this printout on January 16th. Look at how obscure this series of calls has become.
To be continued.

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