Featured

Exxon Drops Big On A Late Monday Morning

Is now a time for a reversal? When Exxon drops like this on a Monday morning it has the weight of the world's problems on it's shoulders. If it dropped double this amount you would know something is actually wrong. Here is it's five and one day charts.
So anyone could recognize this. Why pick this time to look for a reversal? What happened to the support level at $118.00? Does the $118.00 level look like a stretch to far away? Now this. We are hoping for a pause in the downward action and hopefully a slight rebound. A rebound to $118.00 would work wonders. Here is it's 11:39 a.m. readout.
A further deterioration downwards would be ugly but these Calls don't expire until Friday. The low volume of trading tells us that experienced option traders are not looking for any sort of a quick rebound. Let's see how this plays itself out. Now this, a 2:00 p.m. readout.
Now a 4:00 p.m. readout.
It took until noon to shake off the weekend sentiment but after that a rebound ensued. The trick is in not jumping in to fast to catch the reversal. On Mondays just learn to be happy with partial reversals like this. Here now is it's five day chart.
Monday morning dips on Exxon often reflect weekend resets. I wouldn't want to be trying to outguess it on Tuesday morning after it traded like this today.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more