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Eli Lilly - Expect Morning Moves Like This. Also Costco and Carvana

I don't like writing blogs about Eli Lilly. Why? Three reasons. It's option premiums are expensive and the stock makes giant moves. The third reason is that I know next to nothing about Eli Lilly's "day-to-day" operating realities. If I guess wrong, yes I say the word guess and I am not apologizing for using it, it's game over. Look at what happened this morning, a Tuesday. It jumped upwards after the opening and then sold off. ... The Puts traded down to $12.64 on the stock's early morning blip upwards and then nearly doubled in price on the ensuing decline. A second chart here below shows that action better. Buy the Puts just after the opening and sell them a few minutes later or wait and sell them at lunchtime. It's not only Eli Lilly that moves like this. Look at Costco today. It also was up on the opening and then tanked. This series of Puts moved up in price. Finally Carvana. The same story. Up on the opening and then tanking. .. If you ar...

Exxon Again

It's five day chart as of a Tuesday evening. It closed the previous day at $116.69 and spiked on the opening. That was it's best opening in days. A near double in price for sure on short term Call options.
The same kind of morning spike happened two days earlier. The first twenty minutes of trading every morning is often when most of it's action happens. One thing traders know is that Exxon moves independently from what the DJIA index is doing. Here is how the 116 Calls and the 117 Calls traded on the day.
Up 94% and 85% respectively. All I can say is learn to pick your battles and if pick correctly, expect to be rewarded. Exxon as a trading vehicle is not going to go away. * Now a look at the December 23th 116 and 117 Calls at 11:00 a.m. The stock keeps on marching up. At this point in time there is no reason to want to try and play it.
...
Would a one day chart at this point in time tell us anything?
Not really. An end of the day decision on whether to try and play it's next directional move would be a better way to go. Here is how Exxon closed the day.
Money was made owning the Calls.

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