Featured

Friday Last Day To Expiring Calls on Ford

What's going to happen with the options on Ford today? Can daytraders expect to make money trading them? Let's try and answer that question. This blog is not as easy to read and understand as my previous blog about last day option trading on the stock Tesla . Tesla has bigger one day price swings. Here is what Ford's one day chart looks like at 11:00 a.m.. Let's back up a little bit. Look at how thse two series of Calls and Puts at 9:40 a.m. are trading. They both expire today. ..... If the stock was to rebound suddenly up to the $13.05 range the Calls could go up to $.13 or $.14 cents a contract from their current $.11 ($11.00) per contract price. It's best to buy them in quantities of 25 or more contracts at one time. If you lived in the U.S. and got free commissions trading, options like this could be a very quick and profitable experience. In Canada where I live not so much so. The commissions would eat up a chunk of the profits. Now this, a second look at 11...
Post a Comment

Suicide Options

Do you want to split hairs, meaning do you want to chase the most miniscule of moves in a stock's price? With the way options are structured on Pfizer you can. Look at this five day chart on Pfizer and look at this particular Call option series.
These are the 24 series of Calls that expire this Friday. Why do I think these Calls offer good value? Two reasons, the first being that this stock trades on high volumes. As as of 3:50 p.m. today the stock has traded in excess of 39.6 million shares. I take comfort in this number. With this much volume I would think that the option makers would have less power and less desire to control any short term directional moves that this stock has. The second reason I like these options is that they trade in one dollar increments. I like that. In my blogs about Walmart I mention the same thing. In this case we now have a "Bid" of .22 and an "Ask" .25 with a high on the day of .42. Purchase these options in quanties of 20, 30, 40 or whatever you want. The tiniest of an updraft will send these options soaring. Well not crazy soaring but on a percentage basis noticably large move. Let's see what happens. It is expected that tomorrow will see news of an interest rate drop. That should help the markets. Here is how they closed the day which is twenty five minutes after we first clued into this situation.
Ten contracts at .23 would be $230.00 and a jump to .43 would make them worth $430.00. Trades like this up and down could theorically be done multiple times in a one week period of time. I note that 730 contracts traded in the last 25 minutes of today's trading which means that about 29 contracts traded per minute.That's good liquity.
Let's check in tomorrow to see what has transpired. Once again these are suicide options because it is all to easy to get caught going the wrong way. Pfizer was down seven cents on the day. Now here we are six minutes into Wednesdays trading action.
It's up. Here is the move you need to make a profit and move on to something else. Middle of the week timing works work best for these kind of trades. Now it's 9:47 a.m. reading.
The results of this trade are about as good as it gets.
Here is how these Calls closed the day.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more