Featured

A Look At "Ford" Calls On A Tuesday Morning Opening. FORD BLOGS CAN BE A GOOD READ

Here is how it seems to be set up to go. How it all turns out might surprise you. We are expecting a slightly weak opening on the price on Ford's stock price this morning and on the D.J.I.A. index. Yes there is fresh news on the Ford Motor Company before the opening. They have announced yet another recall. This time it's for "wiper blade" issues on over 400,000 vehicles. That number is not a typing error. At least it's not a recall for engine or transmission problems. In an odd sort of way this news will help to get past customers back into their showrooms for like thirty minutes or so. The recall should be a quick, one time fix. It's still however going to cost them massive headaches to organize and millions of dollars. What an inconvience for a large number of drivers. Look at these two premarket readouts, the second one at 9:00 a.m. Can you see Ford's stock price trading down in the premarkets?. The question is how much will the 11.5 series of Calls d...
Post a Comment

Netflix As A Mid Week Trading Vehicle

I often talk about Wednesdays being turn around days for the markets. Today was one of those days. Netflix had a big drop and then came back a small bit towards the close. Look at this, the 1220 Puts on Netflix at the start of the day, a Wednesday. Can you see they closed Tuesday at $1,340?
Now this. It's Calls.
Now it's one day chart.
Here how the Puts and Calls traded.
The Puts more than doubled in price in the morning and the Calls lost more than half of their value. What's the importance of this read? Maybe there should be more energy put into tracking these moves. Costco options offer the same trading experiences. Three hour moves in mid week trading sessions on high priced stocks can can sometimes offer profitable experiences without the urgency of time (the time value premium on options) working against you.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more