Featured

Twenty Four Cent Boeing Calls On A Friday Morning With A Rally On The Day of Over 400 Points.

Boeing is one stock you can mess around with on Friday mornings. It can move like $5.00 in one day and it's last day to expiring Calls and Puts often pay off big time. Here I am this morning looking at it's five chart. I like the fact it opened stronger and then came off. Look at these two "out-of-the-money" series of Calls that expire today. It's a gamble that requires Boeing to go up. That's why them are priced so cheap. A lot can happen in the next five hours of trading. Look at how it was trading at a higher price on the previous day. Notice the 60 and 62 percent drops in value on these "out-of-the-money Calls" in the first eight minutes of trading. Now this. Boeing continues to stall out. Now let's jump forward to the 2:50 p.m. time period. The deadline to get out is 3:00 p.m. ... So what is the takeaway? A strong market helped the outcome. The $.24 cent options hit a high of $.79 and the $.55 options we first looked at jumped as high a...
Post a Comment

Boeing A Guessing Game. Boeing Tomorrow . How Good Are Your Instincts?

When you see this chart you will understand what this game is. Guess which way Boeing is going to trade tomorrow. It's not as simple as you might think.
Here are it's Calls on the closing today which will be expiring tomorrow.
Notice the open position number, 226 Calls. It's really nothing. The chart looks ugly. Now look the Puts.
The open interest number is much greater. What's that all about. Is it the anticipation of a weak opening? Now this, one possible reason why it dropped today. There was news of the new 777X jet falling behind schedule. Does that influence your decision? It's a tough call. Might one strategy be to buy in a minute or two after the opening and trade in the opposite direction of which way the stock is moving? That's what some option players would be instinctively doing. Some Telsa Call option players would have done well on the day today using that strategy. It's going to be super interesting watching the way this event unfolds tomorrow. To me it's a battle not worth fighting. The cost of entry and the risk is to high. Let's see what happens. Friday morning.
So a ten dollar drop in two days on a stock in the $225.00 per share range. Now with Friday options the deadline to get out is 3:00 p.m. on the last day of expiring options. Here is a look at these Puts minutes are doing slightly after this 3:00 p.m. "selling-out deadline".
Bad news reports shouldn't be triivalized but are difficult to quantify. Option traders, take note of this experience. I am not sure where the "instinct" part of the equasion fits in. A report like this on a Monday or Tuesday might not have the same effect as it had on a Thursday. Instincts tell me that.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more