Featured

Costco And Dangerous Fruit . It was Like Robbing A Bank

Let's zoom in on a dangerous Friday afternoon option trading situation. Do you want to try and rob a bank? Look at this chart.
It's zig-zagging and it's Costco is down $2.02 a 1:42 p.m. on a Friday afternoon. It's one week options on it that expire at 4.00 p.m. actually expire at 3.00 p.m. for retail traders . Might it jump a couple of dollars or more in the next 78 minutes? That's the bet to rob the bank. I like it. Past blogs have talking about Costco moving $25.00 and $35.00 dollars in one day. If your ahead of the game from trading all week you can afford to explore this situation. Here now at 1:40 p.m. are it's three series of "out-of-the-money series of Calls".
......................................................
..........................................................................
So what ended up happening? Costco exploded upwards. I will now only show you one of these series of Calls and how they were trading at 3:00 p.m. which was the get out deadline. They went from forty-four dollars a contract to four hundred and thirty five dollars a contract.
Here is it's closing one day chart. You can see it jumping up at the end of the day. It's Costco.
What an amazing opportunity. *** A quick part two for the more advanced readers. A comment on the 3:00 p.m. deadline the trading houses impose to get out by 3:00p.m.. You don't really have to. If you don't they will eventually just sell you out "at-market". Sometimes they will call first or at least try to call you. You don't really have pick up. Sometimes if I am caught in this situation and want to hang on a little bit longer I will submit just prior to this 3:00 p.m. deadline a sell ticket order slightly above the options current selling price. That way they know I am tracking the action and they might cut me some slack. In this instance Costco continued to rise. This next readout shows you that the 965 Series of calls did actually reach a high of $501.00 on the day.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more