Featured

Is Tesla A Good Robot Play?

There's going to be pushback if Musk decides to turn his auto production lines into robot making production lines. That's a new fear. It is also noted that used Teslas are dropping in value quickly. Tesla was down in price $5.62 last week. How is Musk going to make this new venture work? Might his first generation of robots like his cybertrucks quickly become obsolete? If you think about it, maybe existing shareholders are already lightening up on their stock positions knowing that a bumpy ride could soon be on the horizon. Now a new topic. How much do the "three-month-out-Calls-and-Puts" on Tesla cost? That's a fair question and here is the answer. Now we also need to look at how it has traded in the last three months. The stock is down about $60.00 over that period of time. Anything is possible with these three month out option series. Now this, Tesla drops on the Monday February 23th opening. The markets are having a bad day. Look now at what the May 26t...

Netflix Pulls Off A Monday Morning Rally And Two Back To Back Friday Afternoon Rallies. That Plus My Thoughts On All Of This Action

In a recent blog I talked about Costco taking off upwards on a late Friday afternoon. This time this blog is partly about Netflix resetting itself on a Monday morning. Netflix often makes big moves on Fridays and big moves on Monday mornings. I call it getting rebalanced. Playing the Monday moves is often not as rewarding as playing the one day Friday options because included in the option pricing is a time value component. You are paying for the luxury of five days of trading time. That makes them more expensive.
Can you see a $25.00 morning bounce from it's early morning trading lows?
I call it returning to normal. One week ago I talked about Costco shooting up on a Friday afternoon starting at about 1:30 p.m. I posted a detailed blog about it's incredible jump. Here is the chart I showed before it started to jump up.
Here is how it then closed the day.
Options purchases at 1:45 p.m. which was the period of time I highlighted on the chart paid off on spades at 3:00 p.m., perhaps the best situation I witnessed on the week. My point is Monday mornings and late Friday afternoons are often sweet spots for playng options on this stock. Now yesterdays action on Friday September 19th which carries the same theme. Here is it's one day chart.
Let's image you were lucky enough to be looking at the 1210 series of Calls around 10:15 a.m. That's when this series of Calls was trading at it's lows of the day. Here is how that series of Calls then closed on the day.
The higher up "out-of-the-money" Calls posted even more impressive gains. Here are two examples.
Is it possible for anyone to pinpoint in advance when these types of moves will happen? I think people with a passion for option trading are more in tune with knowing where to look for this kind of action. Look at the upwards jump on Pfizer last week on Wednesday Sept.17th. I did a blog catching it's biggest one morning jump of the week. I showed it's Call option prices just before and just after it's big move. Go back and read that blog if you wish.
Can I teach the world to play options? Not really. I don't want to encourage others to make reckless trades. It's a sea of sharks out there. I can only show you snippets of the action. It remains a continous learning game for everyone.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Another Blog On "Vinfast"