Featured

Exxon Again

It's five day chart as of a Tuesday evening. It closed the previous day at $116.69 and spiked on the opening. That was the best opening in days. A near double in price for sure on short term Call options. The same kind of morning spike happened two days earlier. Can I teach anyone to play Exxon options? Not really. Read some of my recent blogs of how it trades interday. The first twenty minutes of trading every morning is often when most of it's action happens. One thing I should say is that Exxon moves independently from what the DJIA index is doing. Here is how the 116 Calls and the 117 Calls did on the day. Up 94% and 85% respectively. All I can say is learn to pick your battles and if pick correctly, expect to be rewarded. Exxon as a trading vehicle is not going to go away. * Now a look at the December 23th 116 and 117 Calls at 11:00 a.m. ... Would a one day chart at this point in time tell us anything? Not really but the Call holders as of late have had a nice ride. ...

Exxon At The Start Of A Major Move

Here is the chart on Monday morning. Are you attracted to it?
It's Monday at 10:05 a.m.. Here is one series of Call options on Exxon to look at that expire at the end of this week.
The volume of trading on these Calls and the number of open interest contracts is relatively light. Not many traders are getting drawn into this action. Why is it down? It's an oil stock and there is going to be a hundred reasons for this current sentiment of the day. Every day the sentiment changes. Everything good for this stock and eveything bad is stirred into one big pot and the end result is refected in these constantly changing numbers. Down $3.00 in one week. That's a big number. Now here is a look at how Exxon ended up trading on the entire day.
It gets interesting. Here is how Exxon traded on the day. It dipped around 1:00 p.m.
.....
Here is how the options traded on the day.
At 3:25 p.m. they went as high as $1.30. It's Monday. Here now is how these Call options traded on the day. These options are meant to be day traded. Catch a swing and sell out and wait to do it again. Are these strategies to winning? It would be all to easy to say don't hold onto positions overnight. But that's not the case because sometimes that's when some of the best gains take place.
All I can say is expect to be suprised. Daytraders with a habit getting out before closings often end up losing out on some of the biggest gains. Trading Exxon options kind of has a Vegas feel to it and in a way are kind of a distraction. Let me now show you Tuesday's action.
In a way I feel guilty posting this blog because it makes it look all so easy. Look at how little volume of trading there was in these option. Now this, two end of the week charts.
The 112 Calls turned out to be golden. Exxon had one of it's best one week upward moves this year. A comment on it's "volume of trading numbers". They were very low. In a way that tells us that they are not all that important as an indicator as to what might happen next.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Another Blog On "Vinfast"