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Is Tesla A Good Robot Play?

There's going to be pushback if Musk decides to turn his auto production lines into robot making production lines. That's a new fear. It is also noted that used Teslas are dropping in value quickly. Tesla was down in price $5.62 last week. How is Musk going to make this new venture work? Might his first generation of robots like his cybertrucks quickly become obsolete? If you think about it, maybe existing shareholders are already lightening up on their stock positions knowing that a bumpy ride could soon be on the horizon. Now a new topic. How much do the "three-month-out-Calls-and-Puts" on Tesla cost? That's a fair question and here is the answer. Now we also need to look at how it has traded in the last three months. The stock is down about $60.00 over that period of time. Anything is possible with these three month out option series. Now this, Tesla drops on the Monday February 23th opening. The markets are having a bad day. Look now at what the May 26t...
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Exxon At The Start Of A Major Move

Here is the chart on Monday morning. Are you attracted to it?
It's Monday at 10:05 a.m.. Here is one series of Call options on Exxon to look at that expire at the end of this week.
The volume of trading on these Calls and the number of open interest contracts is relatively light. Not many traders are getting drawn into this action. Why is it down? It's an oil stock and there is going to be a hundred reasons for this current sentiment of the day. Every day the sentiment changes. Everything good for this stock and eveything bad is stirred into one big pot and the end result is refected in these constantly changing numbers. Down $3.00 in one week. That's a big number. Now here is a look at how Exxon ended up trading on the entire day.
It gets interesting. Here is how Exxon traded on the day. It dipped around 1:00 p.m.
.....
Here is how the options traded on the day.
At 3:25 p.m. they went as high as $1.30. It's Monday. Here now is how these Call options traded on the day. These options are meant to be day traded. Catch a swing and sell out and wait to do it again. Are these strategies to winning? It would be all to easy to say don't hold onto positions overnight. But that's not the case because sometimes that's when some of the best gains take place.
All I can say is expect to be suprised. Daytraders with a habit getting out before closings often end up losing out on some of the biggest gains. Trading Exxon options kind of has a Vegas feel to it and in a way are kind of a distraction. Let me now show you Tuesday's action.
In a way I feel guilty posting this blog because it makes it look all so easy. Look at how little volume of trading there was in these option. Now this, two end of the week charts.
The 112 Calls turned out to be golden. Exxon had one of it's best one week upward moves this year. A comment on it's "volume of trading numbers". They were very low. In a way that tells us that they are not all that important as an indicator as to what might happen next.

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