Featured

Twenty Four Cent Boeing Calls On A Friday Morning With A Rally On The Day of Over 400 Points.

Boeing is one stock you can mess around with on Friday mornings. It can move like $5.00 in one day and it's last day to expiring Calls and Puts often pay off big time. Here I am this morning looking at it's five chart. I like the fact it opened stronger and then came off. Look at these two "out-of-the-money" series of Calls that expire today. It's a gamble that requires Boeing to go up. That's why them are priced so cheap. A lot can happen in the next five hours of trading. Look at how it was trading at a higher price on the previous day. Notice the 60 and 62 percent drops in value on these "out-of-the-money Calls" in the first eight minutes of trading. Now this. Boeing continues to stall out. Now let's jump forward to the 2:50 p.m. time period. The deadline to get out is 3:00 p.m. ... So what is the takeaway? A strong market helped the outcome. The $.24 cent options hit a high of $.79 and the $.55 options we first looked at jumped as high a...
Post a Comment

Exxon At The Start Of A Major Move

Here is the chart on Monday morning. Are you attracted to it?
It's Monday at 10:05 a.m.. Here is one series of Call options on Exxon to look at that expire at the end of this week.
The volume of trading on these Calls and the number of open interest contracts is relatively light. Not many traders are getting drawn into this action. Why is it down? It's an oil stock and there is going to be a hundred reasons for this current sentiment of the day. Every day the sentiment changes. Everything good for this stock and eveything bad is stirred into one big pot and the end result is refected in these constantly changing numbers. Down $3.00 in one week. That's a big number. Now here is a look at how Exxon ended up trading on the entire day.
It gets interesting. Here is how Exxon traded on the day. It dipped around 1:00 p.m.
.....
Here is how the options traded on the day.
At 3:25 p.m. they went as high as $1.30. It's Monday. Here now is how these Call options traded on the day. These options are meant to be day traded. Catch a swing and sell out and wait to do it again. Are these strategies to winning? It would be all to easy to say don't hold onto positions overnight. But that's not the case because sometimes that's when some of the best gains take place.
All I can say is expect to be suprised. Daytraders with a habit getting out before closings often end up losing out on some of the biggest gains. Trading Exxon options kind of has a Vegas feel to it and in a way are kind of a distraction. Let me now show you Tuesday's action.
In a way I feel guilty posting this blog because it makes it look all so easy. Look at how little volume of trading there was in these option. Now this, two end of the week charts.
The 112 Calls turned out to be golden. Exxon had one of it's best one week upward moves this year. A comment on it's "volume of trading numbers". They were very low. In a way that tells us that they are not all that important as an indicator as to what might happen next.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more