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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...

Snowflake and Charts

What the heck do I know about Snowflake? Not much. I know it's symbol. I have Snowflake and First Solar Inc. next to each other on one of the screens I watch and all I know is that their options are volatile. Today is Wednesday Dec 11th.
.....
If the stock was worth $185.00 two days ago why is it only worth $171.00 today? Should I scurry around looking for recent news to help figure out why it is down? At ten a.m. this morning the stock is relatively flat. What does that tell me? It tells me that traders are reassessing the causes of the damage that was done. At the same time I am mystified by the recent spikes in Boeing, Tesla and Rivian. Yet than again there are plausable reasons why those stocks are going up. Rivian is getting money, Tesla has a million things happening.... Which brings me back to Snowflake and First Solar Inc. Their stories don't get quite the same amount of attention. Here is how the 172.50 Calls are trading at 10:05 a.m.
Times change.
It is now 10:33 a.m. and look at those same options.
Ten a.m. on Wednesday morning are good times to be looking for stuff like this. A 12:24 p.m. update.
Picking a time to get out is the difficult part. Now nine minutes later.
What ended up happening on the day? First the one day chart.
Now for this suprise.
There was lots of warning in the mid afternoon that things were starting to change. Wednesdays are great days in the week for action like this. ** How did First Solar trade?
It's five day chart is kind of a flip of a coin.
These Calls are actually pretty cheap given that they are "in-the-money". Here now is it's one day chart.
My thoughts as I have said before is that buying Calls on a Thursday morning that expire the next day is a bit of a trap. Time value quickly can work against you. Wednesday options do not seem to have this worry.

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