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What The Heck Just Happened Last Week? Everything Went Up.

We are living in a world soon to be affected by tariffs. We have not yet felt the pain of what that will mean. So why is are the markets going up? It doesn't make sense. Earning reports coming out are not that great. Boeing and Deere and Caterpillar are all struggling but their share prices continue to rise. Remember I talked about playing Walmart Call options on Fridays if Fridays turn out to be strong days? Walmart Call and Put options are something newbie option players can fiddle with. If you catch them right they can be explosive, especially their one day Call option on Fridays if the DJIA has a suprise rally. As of late it happens more often than you might think. It just happened this past Friday. I kind of get tired about talking about them. I also know how dangerous such a trade can be. Look at the action in the 96 series of calls. Shown below is Friday's one day action with the DJIA also jumping up as shown below. Walmart opened cautiously on the opening. In fact it...

Remember Moderna?

Here is it's year to date chart. Look at the volume of trading coming into it towards the end of November.
Now it's five day chart.
What do I know about this stock that other traders know about this stock that might cause it to go up? Well nothing really. It's next earnings report does not come out until February 2025.
Look at this series of Call options near the stock's current selling price that expire this Friday. That's two trading days away. It's Wednesday morning, the one day of the week you sometimes see market reversals. This series of Call options could be hot potatoes.
Now here they are thirty one minutes later.
Now another seventeen minutes later.
These options still have 2.5 trading days of action in them. Anything could happen. Look at how Eli Lilly is trading on the day. It's up $22.00 at this point in time.There is no negativity today surrounding stocks in this segment of the market.
Yet anything could happen. 1:19 p.m. trouble. Things are stalling out.
Now at 1:27 p.m. things start to drop.
Here is how they closed out the day.
Now this, the activity on Thursday morning.
A nice jump upwards with the DJIA moving down.
Look at the high of $1.35 which is more that double the closing price of $.60 and above the bid-ask of $.80-$.95 when we first started this exercise. One question is would you have the stomach to play ten contracts on a situation like this? As a general rule one has to be more nimble playing options on $40.00 stocks that options on higher priced stocks like Tesla where the stakes are higher, as are the rewards. Here for example is this mornings action on Tesla and a look at how an "out-of-the-money" Call option reacted.
Yet the question then becomes the one of how do you know this was going to be the day that this breakout occurred? If you look at it's chart you will see that it did nothing in the last three days. Now back to Moderna. Good news! It's 12:30 p.m. on Thursday.
If you where holding these Calls how would you play them? One crazy way is to say now might be to say take some of your profits and play it the other.
If your doing it with profits is that wise? Should you be just chilling out and saying thank you, your trading activites for the week are over? Here is what one series of tommorrows Puts look like. Some traders got in closer to the $.20 mark and can already take their profits. Timing is everything.
Here is how these two Moderna option series closed out Thursday. First the Calls.
Now the puts.
Now Moderna's one day chart.
Moderna is known to suprise. Now Friday morning action.
What a happy ending for Call holders.
Look at the high of $4.40 on the day!

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