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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...
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Deere. One Issue With Thinly Traded Call Options On Stocks In The $450.00 Price Range That Expire in Four Days

It's chart. It's Tuesday morning and the stock Deere has being going sideways for a few trading sessions.
Let's now focus on the "bid and ask". Look at the spread and think back to the "bid-and-ask" on the stock Walmart I wrote about yesterday. The spread (the "bid and ask") on options on Walmart yesterday was like two pennies ( "bid $1.04-ask $1.06") at 10:09 a.m. which can be a very turbulent period of time.
It's late in the morning trading session well past the first hour of morning jitters. If you want to buy in on Deere Calls what would you be willing offer? $3.50.? That's only a guess. If you want to sell what would be the suggested selling price? This wide spread (a spread of $3.26 dollars) is a total turnoff. Now this. A look at the trading action near the end of the day on this same options postion. Here are it's one day and five day charts. The markets are off and the stock Deere now is up.
Now the same 440 series of Deere Call options at 3:49:00 p.m.
One final conclusion which can only be verified by repeated observations. We are afterall not not privy to how logarithms work. When you see the spread on Call options increase to preposterous proportions on stocks in the $450.00 price range with four days left to go before expiring you can be assured that there is some kind of action happening in the background causing a push to go up.

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