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The Sliding Door Syndrome - Hertz

 Open the door and guess what might happen? Who knows which way the winds will be blowing. The used auto car market got dumped on last week in the U.S, especially on tariffs new.  Trump said he might raise the tariffs on cars to more than 25%. It's a fickled  market. Here are a few of the sell offs. 1) Carvana Company. It sold off over $21.00 dollars on the day last Friday. They have a reputation for having share manipulations with a long history of  insider "buying-and selling-activities". They have a short interest of 5.3% . It didn't help much that the DJIA was down over 700 points on Friday. 2} Carmax also sold off on the week. They have an earnings report coming out and that could cause the stock to drop but maybe not. It could actually rally. Here is it's one week chart and a conference call dial in number. Listen to it if you like. I might be. Now here is a look at the 65 series of Calls on this stock that expire this coming Friday.  On Friday morning at ...
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When The Markets Are Up over 550 Points at Noon On A Monday Morning Is It a Good Time To Be Buying Call Options That Expire On Friday?

Did you miss the boat and will there be a retreat on these prices on these Ford Calls in the afternoon or on the next day? Probably. These options are up on no apparent news.
Look at it's five day chart. It's not pretty. All we now hear is bad news about the current state of the auto industry. Now it's five day chart.
What do I know about Ford that other that other people do not know? Nothing really. Let's see what happens with these ones. Next Vinfast, the Vietnamese EV maker with a ten year, 200,000 kilometer warranty. It's stock only started trading on the North American market last year.
It's a stock in the $3.50 range and options on $3.50 stocks are next to impossible to play. Having said that, Call options on another electric car building company called Nio popped last week on better than expected production numbers.That company has a large North American following and a six year history of trading on the NYSE. exchange. China is going all in on electric vehicles and there is a buzz about this in the air.
Now the one week Call options.>
Note the low volumes traded and the large spread between the bid and ask. With this kind of situation it would be better to go like two or three months out. Now here is the thing. If we go two months out nobody is playing them and the bid and ask is to far apart. So forget that suggestion.
Now look at this, the January Calls. Look, there is an outstanding open interest in these Calls and you can look and see what the last Call options traded for. A downward day like this would be a good time to make an entry position. (On up days you would have to pay near the ask to get in).
What do I know about Vinfast? I know that when the stock got listed on the American exchange it was crazy expensive. Here is it's chart. These types of charts don't usually end up well.
Now back to playing Ford Calls once again. With Ford Calls one series of Calls always seems to have a wide following. These are the ones that expire in January of next year and for that matter the year after that. Here is what these two series now look like.
What are we looking at? The $1.03 and $1.69 price numbers. If Ford goes up to over $11.00 in the next four months you will do very well on this investment. Sounds simple right? Well not so fast. Read my July 29th blog on this very same situation and notice how many investors bought into the eleven dollar series of Call options. They got buying in when Ford was trading at a higher price. Here is Ford's "year-to-date chart"
. Tuesday and bad news.
Playing Ford Calls can be a full time job. The liquidity is always there to make this exercise feasible.

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