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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...
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Boeing On A Dip

First it's five day chart.
Stocks after a dip like this sometimes take time to recover. Buy nexts weeks Calls just slightly "out-of-the-money" and sell this week's Calls against them. Here are the two series we are talking about.
Now the series with the shorter expiracy date.
Buy the longer term Calls and sell the shorter term Calls and hope the shorter term Calls expire worthless. What caused Boeing to sell off so quickly? Airports were crowded over the long weekend that we just had. People where flying in record numbers. Now read this.
So what to think? Boeing, partially because of it's size is easy to criticize. Yet a few cleverly worded paragraghs should not be enough to set off alarm bells. One takeaway is that there is a risk involved in purchasing Boeing Call at 3:59 p.m. on a Friday afternoon, especially before a long weekend. This stock has struggled as of late. Now at look at the two options series we just talked about after the close today, a Thursday. On a percentage basis this weeks Call lost more than next weeks Calls..
After tomorrows closing (a Friday) I will tell you what all this means. Boeing sold off on Friday (
) and the 165 Calls that I suggested should be sold as part of a spread ended up expiring worthless Here they are.
Here now also is the closing reading on next weeks series of 165 Calls and Boeings five day chart on the week.
Doing this spread at this point in time kind of backfired because Boeing dipped again today. Yes you do get to keep the $157.00 you collected on the expired Call contract you sold however the offsetting 165 Call one would have purchased to create this spread is also down now. A bounce on Monday or Tuesday is now needed to save "next-weeks" Call option. Now Monday at 11:30 a.m.
At this point in time you are in a break even situation if you did the spread I talked about. It's not exactly a pleasant ride. Tuesday had news. Boeing always has news.
Tuesday. Did you get out of the 165 Calls yesterday to recoup last weeks investment? The 160 Calls are the ones that could now gain from a short term rally.
To be continued.

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