Featured

A Jumpy Week For Caterpillar - A Week With Earning Reports

Here is Thursday's trading on the day on Caterpillar. Here is how the $417.50 calls that expire tomorrow closed the day. Something happened this week. Caterpillar had a quarterly earning report come out on Tuesday. It's stock trading action survived this news unscathed. Here is it's five day chart as of the end of Thursday. Maybe the 420.00 or the 422.50 series Calls are better to look at? Here they are. But wait. Deere got clobbered today on the release of a quarterly earning's report. Why didn't Caterpillar sell off in price in sympathy? It shoud have. Deere sold off $34.70. For this reason alone I would be more inclined to purshase the Puts. Here is the series I would consider. To be continued.
Post a Comment

Nvidia Options With Two Days To Go

Triple witching is kicking in on Friday and today is a Wednesday with the markets being closed. It's strange that they are closed but they are. The next two days of trading are going to be different. Big players with big bets most likely made closer to the start of the year now have to be rolled into something further out. If you just made $3 million dollars on stock options from trading Nvidia wouldn't you think about taking a tiny portion of the profits and put it into playing the downside? Here now are Nvidia's five and thirty day charts and soon we will looking at the crazy volume of trading on it's "near-to-the-money" Call and Put options. These are options with only two days of trading days life left in them.
Can you see it stepping up in price nearly everyday? Like up five days in a row. If you get a ruler out and join up the lines you will see that odds are, based on day to day action that's what is going to contunue to happen. Might it slip back off a few dollars or dive down twenty dollars on ugly news? It could. Some speculators think like that. Remember it recently enjoyed a 10 for 1 stock split. The stock is hot. Now this.
Look at the total number of contracts traded on the day and the end of the trading session's open interest. Think of how large these numbers are. Now the Puts.
If the stock swings $4.00 in one day somebody is going to make some money in the next two days! Let's now see how Nvidia traded on Tuesday. Remenber how the markets were closed on Wednesday .
To be continued. Approaching 1 p.m. on Thursday.
Now a look at the Call options.
Now the Puts. This time it's a 12:52 p.m. readout.
Now a Thursday "end- of-the-day" printout. Look at the drop.
Now the Puts.
Now for Friday.
Who would be brave enough to be buying the Puts on Thursday's strong opening? Think about this on our next triple witching occurance!

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more