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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

Can You Play Deere For A Friday Morning Pop? It's Tricky.

Maybe, here is it's five day chart at the close on a Thursday. Yet a five day chart isn't going to help you in figuring out what is going to happen next.
Which way, up or down? Here are the slightly "out-of-the" money Calls as of a Thursday June 6th closing with one day to go in their trading life.
You can see more people like the upside than the downside? That's always the way it seems to be. Now here are some slightly "in-the-money" Puts.
The stock has gone sideways all week. The number of open contracts on these now "one-day" options are very light so that will have no effect on which way this stock will move. Recent history tells us that one day Friday reversals on this stock are a frequent occurance. Wait until it opens and moves in one direction and then get before it moves in opposite diection. Buy "out-of the-money" options and hope for a three dollar swing in the options. That's not much of a strategy and look at how few traders are playing that game. No one really is. Yet recent histories tells us one day reversals off this magnitude are a very common occurance. Is this a reckless trade? Yes very reckless. If however you are coming off a quick win from playing options on something else it might be something you might feel comfortable entertaining. Let's watch now and see how this situation plays itself. It tanked on the opening and quickly pulled itself up.
Here was the opportunity to play a reversal.
This all happened in the first hour of trading. Now here is how it was trading at 1:15 p.m.
Now the final one day chart.
Remember with option trading the rule is on Friday retail traders must be out of their option positons at 3 p.m.. Now the five day chart.
It's funny when you can double your money or make even more on a trading day when the stock really didn't do anything.

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