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Costco. It's Short Term Options

 Options on stocks in the $1,000  range often move  50%  or more in only a matter of  minutes on the opening on Wednesday and Thursday's . The trick is to  anticipate correctly which way the markets are going to move. That's a fools game you might say? Yes and no. It may not be a game you ever play but it might be something to consider to put in your bag of tricks when you are on a role. One thousand dollar stocks sometimes move five, ten or fifteen dollars on the day. If you have profits it's best to take them quickly. Costco is a prime example of that. Let's look at this mornings action. First it's five day and one day charts. Tuesday's trading was kind of choppy. Might it drop on the opening tomorrow? Here is a look at where the 1,035 series of Puts closed that expire this Friday. They closed at $8.50. It looks like Costco cycled up about five times yesterday. Given a weak market opening doesn't it stand to reason a three or four or five dollar will be i...

Can You Play Deere For A Friday Morning Pop? It's Tricky.

Maybe, here is it's five day chart at the close on a Thursday. Yet a five day chart isn't going to help you in figuring out what is going to happen next.
Which way, up or down? Here are the slightly "out-of-the" money Calls as of a Thursday June 6th closing with one day to go in their trading life.
You can see more people like the upside than the downside? That's always the way it seems to be. Now here are some slightly "in-the-money" Puts.
The stock has gone sideways all week. The number of open contracts on these now "one-day" options are very light so that will have no effect on which way this stock will move. Recent history tells us that one day Friday reversals on this stock are a frequent occurance. Wait until it opens and moves in one direction and then get before it moves in opposite diection. Buy "out-of the-money" options and hope for a three dollar swing in the options. That's not much of a strategy and look at how few traders are playing that game. No one really is. Yet recent histories tells us one day reversals off this magnitude are a very common occurance. Is this a reckless trade? Yes very reckless. If however you are coming off a quick win from playing options on something else it might be something you might feel comfortable entertaining. Let's watch now and see how this situation plays itself. It tanked on the opening and quickly pulled itself up.
Here was the opportunity to play a reversal.
This all happened in the first hour of trading. Now here is how it was trading at 1:15 p.m.
Now the final one day chart.
Remember with option trading the rule is on Friday retail traders must be out of their option positons at 3 p.m.. Now the five day chart.
It's funny when you can double your money or make even more on a trading day when the stock really didn't do anything.

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