Featured

Why Tuesdays Around 11:30 A.M . Are Particularly Unattractive Times To Be Looking At Options That Expire On Friday

So here are nine examples of what the heading is alluding too. Bad times for the most part to be entering into option positions. 1) Tesla. 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 9) 8) Now the closing reading on these Calls at the end of the trading session. $6.20 is down from $8.03 on Tesla and on First Solar the Calls are $3.10 down from $3.35. Here is what the markets did on the day. So let's continue on. Now Elli Lilly and Caterpillar. Elli Lilly went from $13.40 to $15.65 and Caterpillar went from $3.95 to bid $3.95 and $4.35. Elli Lilly showing strenght in the second half of the day could be a precursor to something good happening. Now Biogen. It went from $2.50. down to $1.45. Boeing Calls went from $2.88 to $3.70. In Biogen there were no further option trades on the day with the bid and ask going up towards the closing bell. Walmart couldn't do anything as the effect of this tariff situation is all new. When is food going to cost more? It's Calls went from $.88 dollars to $...
Post a Comment

Boeing Calls And Caterpillar Calls Five Days Out On A Monday Morning.

First Boeing's 30 day and 5 day charts. Boeing can bounce five dollars in a week. That's what some traders are now hoping for.
Now look at these two series of Calls and look at the impressive number of Call options opened in the first 30 minutes of trading.
Traders are even jumping into "out-of-the-money" Call options thirteen dollars higher in price than what the stock is now trading at. If the stock was to ever jump four or five dollars in one day these options would pay off handsomely. If not they will quickly languish in price.
Now lets compare this to the trading volumes in the first 50 minutes on Caterpillar. Here are its five and 30 day charts.
Notice how light the trading volumes are in comparison.
Why is the option trading volumes in Boeing so much greater than the option trading in Caterpillar? One reason might be the way this Boeing chart looks on a longer term viewpoint. It explains why Call options once again $13.00 dollars "out-of-the-money" are attracting attention.
Investing in Call options on a Monday morning is to simplistic a strategy from my point of view. In my last blog I talked about Caterpillar jumping sharply on the previous trading session, a Friday. Guess what? The rally carried over today. Here is how the trading day ended for Caterpillar.
What about Boeing and the wildly "out-of-the money" Calls? Well here is it's current five day chart and here is how the two series of options we were watching closed. Boeing only inched up a touch.
Note the 200 series of Calls did not do that well as buying into them is kind of a stretch. All this action today is somewhat atypical. READ MY OCT 3TH BLOG. "BOEING-TROUBLE WHERE TROUBLE SHOULDN'T BE".A Tuesday Oct 10th update. Here is a look at the 190 Calls five minutes into the opening trading. Boeing is up.
Here now is how the five day chart looks.
To be continued. Well maybe not. The point of this blog was to say that buying one week Calls at the start of the week is not the brightest thing to be doing.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more