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Why Tuesdays Around 11:30 A.M . Are Particularly Unattractive Times To Be Looking At Options That Expire On Friday

So here are nine examples of what the heading is alluding too. Bad times for the most part to be entering into option positions. 1) Tesla. 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 9) 8) Now the closing reading on these Calls at the end of the trading session. $6.20 is down from $8.03 on Tesla and on First Solar the Calls are $3.10 down from $3.35. Here is what the markets did on the day. So let's continue on. Now Elli Lilly and Caterpillar. Elli Lilly went from $13.40 to $15.65 and Caterpillar went from $3.95 to bid $3.95 and $4.35. Now Biogen. It went from $2.50. down to $1.45. Boeing Calls went from $2.88 to $3.70. In Biogen there were no further option trades on the day with the bid and ask going up towards the closing bell. Walmart couldn't do anything as the effect of this tariff situation is all new. When is food going to cost more? It's Calls went from $.88 dollars to $.75 dollars. Now the last one, Home Depot. $3.80 went to $4.30 So really the markets sold of or went side...
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The Hurricane - An Avis Option Trade

Last week I did a blog about a little trade on I did on "Home Depot" hurricane news. A second tradable trade presented itself this morning that in hindsight was easy to predict. Last week we all witnessed the carange of cars and boats being destroyed by rising sea levels. Thousands of cars where destroyed. One of the things this means is that Florida instantly needs thousands of rental cars. That's good news for Avis, right? I would think so except for the fact that they too lost vehicles. Here is a look at how Avis traded last week up until Thursday morning. Avis is a company I have never traded before. With the high demand for used cars these days it is not a situation I feel comfortable trying to outguess. This stock made some nice moves upwards last week.
Today is Monday. Doesn't it stand to reason that over the weekend tens of millions of people got to watch news clips on t.v. of the damage incurred? The following chart shows the lift Avis got on the first few minutes of trading this morning. In hindsight we all should have bought Call options on Avis at 3:59:57 p.m. last Friday.
Also now shown is how Avis traded on the day last Friday. Do you see how late in the day profit takers caused the stock to take a slight dip just before the closing bell?
Ps. Here is something I did on Friday (the DJI sold off 500 points on the day) in anticipation of a Monday morning rally. I try not to hang onto positions for to long with short term options. I purchased at around 2 p.m. one contract at $154.00 on Caterpillar that expires this week.
I didn't stay in this position very long. I stayed in it for just less than ten minutes on the opening this morning. The reason I got out so quickly was that I also bought a Boeing Call near the close on Friday so I wanted to lock in as early as possible one profitable trade. Doing so would offer protection just in case the Boeing Call option position started to go south. I got out at $310.00 after buying in at $154.00.That's a double.

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