Featured

CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

A Surprise Caterpillar Jump on a Friday That Option Players Missed.

The action on Caterpillar on October 21st, 2022 defies logic. Here is it's five day chart showing Friday's action. Read On.
In the past I have said that it's stupid to be buying Call or Puts just before a Thursday's closing that expire the next day in anticipation of a rally or a sell off that day. The future market was down big time between 8:00a.m. and 9:00a.m. and then the markets opened flat and then took off. Look at how these for series on Caterpillar Calls traded on the day.
$.16 to $510.00
$.05 to $250.00
$.01 to a high of $.67. In hindsite, the tip off to this possibly happening was in the premarkets turning from negative to positive in a short period of time before the opening bell. This kind of action makes it difficult refocus. Now what I didn't show you was the 180 Calls. With the stock trading around 180 on the opening this is the option series you would expect most casual options traders to be playing. Look now at the suprisely low volume of trading on this series of Calls.
Only 146 contracts in this series traded on the day. Why didn't more players jump in?

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

The Little Engine That Could

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?