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Day Trading One Month Out Options. Learning To Skim The Tiniest Of Moves

This blog is different. It's about skimming small profits on one type of option in particular. It's also my story about how to make the time value of "one-month-out" options your very best friend. What I am about to try to describe to you is a phenomenon of wrongly calculated time values built into option pricings. Wrongly calculated from the perspective that some option prices (their "bids and asks") are over-sensitive to the tiniest of pricing swings. Who am I to make claims like this? What credentials do I bring to the table? I don't want to tell you as I want to keep my identity a secret. Let's just say that I have being trading options for a long time. Over the years I have learned that "nine month" or "one year out" Call options or Put options on stock's in the ten dollar price range are often mispriced. As example, I have followed the stock "Ford" for like forty years and to me it's January Call options a...
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A Canadian Electric Bus Maker with a Story and A December 13th 2022 Update

In the past bus manufacturing companies in Canada got a bad rap. Overhead is high and after sales servicing costs can bury you. Having said this do you know about The Lion Electric Company? A Quebec based maker of electric school busses and now planning on opening up a plant in the U.S.. Earnings come out in ten days.They might be losing money but they might be onto something good. Here is some background information as to why the timing may be right this time. Read about them on the "Sedar Website". That tells you everything.
Interesting right? A backlog or 2,357 vehicles. They need to execute better to speed up production. In the past that has being a problem. Let's hope they are not locked in at fixed prices. Now for a thirty day chart.
Now for it's three year chart. This might suprise. It is a business which requires economies of scale.
So here is what I did in the recent past. I am currently down $25.00
I bought two Jan 19th 2024 Calls with a striking price of $2.50. I am banking on the stock rebounding over the next fourteen months and these Call options are already "in-the-money". Even if it ends up to be a bumpy ride it's not a position I am going to lose sleep over. Long term Call options like this can sometimes suprise. * Nov 2nd. Here is a important suprise.
On this news I got nervous. Production levels of only one.
I got my money back. Now skip ahead one month and see this chart and read this news. This is December 13th news.
Ambitious new projects cost money and fresh money coming into a company often drags down the price of a stock. At these current prices the story is now more compelling.

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