Featured

A Jumpy Week For Caterpillar - A Week With Earning Reports

Here is Thursday's trading on the day on Caterpillar. Here is how the $417.50 calls that expire tomorrow closed the day. Something happened this week. Caterpillar had a quarterly earning report come out on Tuesday. It's stock trading action survived this news unscathed. Here is it's five day chart as of the end of Thursday. Maybe the 420.00 or the 422.50 series Calls are better to look at? Here they are. But wait. Deere got clobbered today on the release of a quarterly earning's report. Why didn't Caterpillar sell off in price in sympathy? It shoud have. Deere sold off $34.70. For this reason alone I would be more inclined to purshase the Puts. Here is the series I would consider. To be continued.
Post a Comment

If You Don't Know Anything About Snowflake Don't Feel Bad

It's one of those cloud based companies. I will tell you what they do, it's all kind of complicated. Even after you read this you will still not really understand what they do.
The stock is volatile and I have it on a watch list with other stocks like First Solar, Costco, Netflix, Moderna, Deere and Tesla. These are all stocks I watch with a passive interest and usually take more of an interest in them around the earning report seasons. Of all of the stocks on this list Snowflake is the one I am least connected to. What insights can I bring to the table about what is happening with this company or the industry it is in? None really. Ask me about Tesla and that's an entirely different and facinating story. Some of my best option trades of my life have come from playing options on Tesla. Now back to Snowflake. It had an earnings reports come out before the bell opened this morning. Here is it's one day trading chart the day before which was somewhat unremarkable. Insider's were not jumping in to play the upside before the close. That to me is somewhat impressive.
Now this, a look at it's previous quarterly earning report numbers .
They look pretty good to me. I note that other stocks have recently done well on poor earning reports. So here is todays one day action after their earnings report came out in the "pre-markets".
A big jump on the opening and the 170 Calls, and other Call options jumped up. Look at how high the 170 Calls jumped up to.
Pick fifteen or twenty stocks you find of interesting and watch how they trade on their earning reports. Keep reading little blogs like this to get a flavour of how I appraoch things. It's all very much a self learning experience. Tell your friend about this site and brain storm with them as to what might happen next. You might be smarter than you think when it comes to what might happen next. Here is how Snowflake closed out the week.
Now it's 30 day chart.
Now look at this. You could you now buy the one week 177.50 Calls for next week and sell aginst them the 180 Calls. (It might be to late now make that trade). Spend money to purchase the lower priced Call option and pull in a slightly smaller credit by selling against that position a higher "out-of-the-money" Call. Spreads are something you might want to learn about. Here is how these two series closed on Friday. More about this techique to come. I will keep you informed next Friday as to how this position turned out. I think Snowflake will have a good week given it's strong earnings report.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more