CAT Puts

Let's start with the action on Carvana back at the start of the week. Here is it's mid afternoon chart on Monday. The stock is up $23.00 on the day! When you see stocks move up like this you sometimes wonder why there isn't more profit taking at the end of the trading session. . Now let's jump forward to Wednesday afternoon with tomorrow being a holiday. Carvana is up. How much? Well about $28.00 more dollars in two days! The word on the street is that their main competitor "Carmax" is in trouble. Here it how it has traded in the last thirty days. It had a bit of a dip but seems to be coming back. Avis Budget Group, also shown below the same thing. Hertz in the last three months has also struggled. So back now to Carvana. It's on fire this week. Buying Puts now that expire on Friday would be kind of dumb. Yet then again the stock could swing $15.00 or more in only a few hours! It's a bet on catching the right directon. Now here is a wildcard facto...

This stock had an unusual trading pattern last Friday. It is now Monday morning and this weeks option trading will be shortened by one day because of thanksgiving on Thursday. Here is the stock chart I am referring to. $24.50 to $25.50 in one day and now chilling at $25.00. It now has to move one way up or down. How do you decide which way? That's the issue. To buy both the Calls and the Puts means that you are going to get burnt one way. Here are the pricings on both the Puts and the Calls two minutes into the opening trading. The open interest in both the Calls and Puts is next to nothing. One thing is for certain. Traders are soon going to wake up to this action. The spread between the "bid and ask" on both series is $.05. That's not an issue. Lets check in at 9:58 a.m. to see what is happening with both the Calls and the Puts. .............. So what to do? Wait. It's now 10:47 a.m. It's now 11:00 a.m.. If we are going to make a stab at playing the d...