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Late To The Party Option Players - Disney

Can late to the party option traders make money? It's something to consider? These Call options expire this Friday. There was news on it before the opening today. The second chart below a few minutes later shows it hanging tough. At 10:01 a.m. we now checking out the Puts. The bid and ask on the Puts are very tight. That also makes us ask what happened to the Disney 101 Calls that we first looked at? Here is what the chart now looks like. More Call option players have jumped in to play the upside that the downside. Might one do a spread and try to play it both ways hoping for a breakout either way? That's an option to consider. Disney has being a dog of a stock now for a year so might some profit taking set in? How is Disney going to pay for another theme park? With that on their plates forget any share buy back programs. They are taking on new risks in a period of global uncertainity. Are late to the party option traders best just to stay away from this unexpected situ...

Shifting Views on the Relevancy Of Option Trading.

An article entitled "This Option Craze Could Spell Market Trouble" by a fellow named Steven Sears in Barron's this month is of extreme interest to me. He starts with the sentence "The options market is in the throes of a speculative mania." He claims that the industry now characterizes options that expire in one week as being financial fentanyl. One of this sentences says - "The truncated expirations seem to mostly incite aggressive speculation as they reduce put and call prices into Wall Street's version of cheap scratch-off lottery tickets." Is he adverse to these types of trades? Well he side tracks this question by saying "The curent option trading mania is dominated by hot teck stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, Meta Platforms, Apple, Micosoft. Super Micro Computer, and Amazon.com. Many of these stocks are so expensive that only weathy investors can afford to buy 100 shares - and even they might pause at paying top dollar for such steeply valued names." In other words he admits that short term option trading is not going to go away. In order to add more favor to his articles he references comments made by a fellow named John Marshall with Goldman's. It is Mr. Marshalls opinions he says that "the option markets provides rich details about investor expectations for coming catalysts, such as earnings or investor days". I am not sure what he means by investor days. He then negates the seriousness of such a conversation by adding this sentence. "Many experienced investors think trading options ahead of earnings is the equvalent of a coin toss." Now look at the movements in the following three stocks last five trading sessions. First Boeing.
The last spike up was yesterday a Monday morning. I you are a long time reader of these blogs you will know how I have talked about holding Boeing Calls over the weekend and gettng out if it jumps on Monday morning. Let's also look at a one day trading opportunity that became self evident the week before .
Now lets mention some of the selling pressure it was under back during the time period of March 12th.
Options are a way to capitalize on rationalizing the effects of short term events. Now Caterpillar in the last five trading sessions. What an remarkable move.
I have recently talked about how light the trading volumes are in option series on stock like this. Contrary to conventional wisdom, following the pack in how options seem to be trading is not a recipe for success. Lastly lets look at Disney in the last five days.
In the past two weeks I have written several blogs about how Disney is in an uptrend. My point is that to capitalize on short term stock moves is not a farfetched as many people think. Forget what the so called experts say.

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