Featured

Netflix With One Day To Go. Also Boeing, Tesla And Caterpillar.

Here is a one day chart showing how Neflix traded on December 31st 2025. It sold off on the opening and then had a decent rebound followed by a flat to down closing. January 1st was a holiday and options on it expire on Friday, January 2nd. Now look at a chart of how the 93 series of Calls that expire tomorrow (January 2nd) traded on the previous trading day December 31st. At one point in the day they rallied only then to sell off again. Here now is the same chart from a different provider. Let's put a bold spin on things. Let's move up the price point by $1.00 to the 94 dollar price level and put a new spin on things. Will the 94 series of Calls with one day to go jump on the opening January 2nd which is tomorrow? Why the 94 series and not the 93 series? Well it's hoping for a rebound from three prior days of falling markets. Here they are. Both of the series we are showing are slightly "out-of-the money" one day Calls. Both need a sizeable morning bounce to p...
Post a Comment

Pension Funds and EV Stocks - A Need To Be Part Of The Action

Pension funds invest in EV stocks. Currently Lucid is 81% owned by institutions and 4% insiders. Rivian is 63% owned by institutions and 12% insiders. It's not the average guy on the street who own these two stocks. What do institutional investors know about stocks in this sector that we don't? Tesla is 44% owned by institutions and 13% by insiders. Workhorse is 33% owned by institutions and 4% insiders. In contrast Polestar is only 4% owned by institutions and 47% by insiders. Lucid and Rivian are both up and running with production output. For this reason they both seem to be gaurishing an inordinate amount of attention. Please now read this. After you finish reading this I will tell you what I think.
It seems to me that institutions are out in the garden patch whimically putting EV stocks into their basket. What a dangerous voyage of discovery. Yet what floats the boat is Tesla which has had a wonderful run. The scary part is that this stock has a P/E ratio of 71:80-1. The boat will continue to float as long as consumers continue go electric. It looks like things are headed in that direction. England for example has the goal to ban the sale of all new petrol and diesel vehicles by 2030. Now for a reality check. Look at how these six EV stocks traded this week. What a scrubbing!
The charging station evolution is just as crazy with pension fund money also following the action. This weeks downward action across the board was abnormal.* A look at this situation one year later. What a mess. Investing in companies before they start to have earnings has proven to be a huge mistake.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more