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Caterpillar Calls. Trying To Make It Simple

So if you like the stock Caterpillar and want to play the upside on it using options you could buy these ones. But why would you? They are up 46% on the day so the real money was made in buying them yesterday and selling them today. The stock would now have to go up about $25.00 in one month just to break even and everything above that price would be profits. If you now look at a thirty day chart you will see that's what it did last month. These are "one month-out" options which are ten dollars "in-the-money" and they trade in a different fashion than short term options. Yet that not what I want to talk about. I note that only 13 contracts traded on this series on the day and the open interest in them stands at only 11. What does this tell us? 1) It tells us that professional money managers are totally lacking in their understandings of the dynamics of option trading. 2) It tells us that retails traders are to some degree misguided by the learning materials ma...

Pension Funds and EV Stocks - A Need To Be Part Of The Action

Pension funds invest in EV stocks. Currently Lucid is 81% owned by institutions and 4% insiders. Rivian is 63% owned by institutions and 12% insiders. It's not the average guy on the street who own these two stocks. What do institutional investors know about stocks in this sector that we don't? Tesla is 44% owned by institutions and 13% by insiders. Workhorse is 33% owned by institutions and 4% insiders. In contrast Polestar is only 4% owned by institutions and 47% by insiders. Lucid and Rivian are both up and running with production output. For this reason they both seem to be gaurishing an inordinate amount of attention. Please now read this. After you finish reading this I will tell you what I think.
It seems to me that institutions are out in the garden patch whimically putting EV stocks into their basket. What a dangerous voyage of discovery. Yet what floats the boat is Tesla which has had a wonderful run. The scary part is that this stock has a P/E ratio of 71:80-1. The boat will continue to float as long as consumers continue go electric. It looks like things are headed in that direction. England for example has the goal to ban the sale of all new petrol and diesel vehicles by 2030. Now for a reality check. Look at how these six EV stocks traded this week. What a scrubbing!
The charging station evolution is just as crazy with pension fund money also following the action. This weeks downward action across the board was abnormal.* A look at this situation one year later. What a mess. Investing in companies before they start to have earnings has proven to be a huge mistake.

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