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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

The Chaff From The Hay - Deere

Here is Wall Street putting a spin on farming.
What does all this mean for Deere and how this stock trade? Look at it's one year chart.
I have talked about options on Deere before. It's options are thinly traded and money can be made taking postions thirty days out and guessing right which direction it is going to go. Stories like this can help to change the needle. Now I would like to show you an example of an October "out-of-the-money" Calls.It is buying one months of time. Deere is at $372.00 and it would have to go up to $385.00 just to break even. Look at the chart. Is that a reasonable expectation? On first glance you might say that this series of Call option is to expensive. You might also say look at how insignificantly small the "open interest" is.
Let's now move forward one week and show a one week chart on Deere and revisit these Call options to see where they are now trading.
Ouch! That's what happens when Deere drops eighteen dollars in one week and your caught going the wrong way. Deere Calls and Puts can be good vehicles to use to catch directional moves in volatile markets.

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