Why Not To Buy Not Rivian Calls With Two Days to Go?

It's obvious right? If you mess up and the stock opens the wrong way you only have one day for a rebound. Why put yourself in that position? Others might be in the camp of saying why not go for a fifty percent rebound on Thurday's morning opening. The stock sold of on Wednesday on very little volume. A morning pop is possible. The stock has being strong as of late. Here is it's five day chart. Now this, the seventeen series of Calls that expires in two days. They do look cheap after hitting a high of $1.55 on the day. If we look at a 30 day chart we will see that the stock is still in an uptrend. Why not look at the Call options one and two weeks out? Here are the seventeen series of Calls one and two weeks out They would be much safer to play and I will check in on these ones at a later date. So what happened on the Thursday opening? Let's switch gears for a moment and look at how Roku, a much higher priced stock opened and look at how their Call options moved.

Deere Calls

On April 7th and 8th.Trading options on Deere on a Friday which expire that day hoping to catch a directional move is tricky business for a variety of reasons. In the very first hour of trading on both of these days the "bids and asks" are often to far apart to even attempt to buy into. There are times however with two days to go until expiracy when it gets a touch easlier to play. Look at what happened for example during the trading session on Thursday April 7th. Let's start with a five day chart. Do you see the dip and rebound on the morning April 7th? A full recovery from a morning like that doesn't happen very often.
What's next? Well here is a closer look at it's one day chart on a Thursday as of 12:22 p.m.. The screen shows a low on the day of $5.37 on the 400 series of Calls and then a rebound to a bid/ask of $10:70 - $13:65. Also notice the super low number of Call options traded. What a rebound! All of this happened before noon. It was playable on its rebound if you were focused and the ride back up was sweet.
So, what's next ?
Now here is the closing recap of the day on the 400 series of Calls. Notice only 26 contracts traded on it and an open interest of only 36 contracts. That's nothing. I often wonder why there are not tens of thousands of day traders dialed into these kind of moves. It is easlier however to play options on stocks like Ford where you can purchase options costing forty or fifty dollars each that are equally as interesting to track.I get that.
Now for day two of this action which takes us to Friday April 8th. Lets start with a look at what's happening with the D.J.I. at 10:08 a.m. It's still to early into the trading session to tell what is going to happen.
So now what? Would it be foolish to try and play it on the upside? It's actually the uncertainty of which way the market is going to move which makes the exercise a game of cat and mouse. It can be rewarding when you can catch the house offside. Yet once again it takes money to play in this game and if you find yourself on the wrong side of the action you lose.
** Look at the bid and ask on the 410 Calls at 10:04 a.m.. Why not split the difference on the "bid-and-ask" and get in around $2.25? Look now at how these Call options were trading at at 11:00 a.m.
That's quite a jump. Look now another time at how the markets ended up closing the day and look at where this series of Call options closed out at.
What a sweet ride one day ride. Here is how the markets closed out the day.
** Scroll up to the top left corner and press the little icon button to read my previous blog.


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