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The Sliding Door Syndrome - Hertz

 Open the door and guess what might happen? Who knows which way the winds will be blowing. The used auto car market got dumped on last week in the U.S, especially on tariffs new.  Trump said he might raise the tariffs on cars to more than 25%. It's a fickled  market. Here are a few of the sell offs. 1) Carvana Company. It sold off over $21.00 dollars on the day last Friday. They have a reputation for having share manipulations with a long history of  insider "buying-and selling-activities". They have a short interest of 5.3% . It didn't help much that the DJIA was down over 700 points on Friday. 2} Carmax also sold off on the week. They have an earnings report coming out and that could cause the stock to drop but maybe not. It could actually rally. Here is it's one week chart and a conference call dial in number. Listen to it if you like. I might be. Now here is a look at the 65 series of Calls on this stock that expire this coming Friday.  On Friday morning at ...
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Power Surges in Option Trading

If your an "Uber" driver working in the downtown core of major cities you know about power surges. If a subway breaks down and the system is broken hundreds of people suddenly need rides. At the very same time the rates you charge will spike up. That's the best time for "Uber" drivers to be out driving. Well playing options on stocks with a day or two to go until they are about to expire is kind of the same thing. Friday May 7th was one of those days. If we look at "Boeing" and "Caterpillar" we will see two examples of what I am talking about. First "Boeing" and it's one day chart and a look at it's 230 "Call" options and it's 232.50 Call" options. What specifically we are looking at is the highs and lows on the trading price of the option series. In the first case there are two sets of numbers. A low of .51 and a high of 6.90 and a low of .16 and a high of 3.40 That's the price swings of the options in one day.
Here now is a look at the "Caterpillar" "Call" options which mimic these same price movements. In this case we are looking at the 235 and 237.50 series of "Call" options and the numbers are a low of .80 and a high of 6.87 and a low of .18 and a high of 4.40
What was the juice that made for these staggering returns? Well in the case of "Boeing" is was the price drop that happened on the opening at 9:34 and in the case of "Caterpillar" it was the opening price drop that happened at 9:33 also on the opening. To catch it at it's extreme your timing had to be perfect. My timing of in at .60 and out at 1.81 on "Caterpillar" that I referenced in my last blog shows that my timing skills need some honing. Uber driver's take note. If your out driving on a Friday morning during one of your surges do what you do best and just keep driving. Don't be fiddling on your phone trying to make these kind of trades. The End.

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