Why Not To Buy Not Rivian Calls With Two Days to Go?

It's obvious right? If you mess up and the stock opens the wrong way you only have one day for a rebound. Why put yourself in that position? Others might be in the camp of saying why not go for a fifty percent rebound on Thurday's morning opening. The stock sold of on Wednesday on very little volume. A morning pop is possible. The stock has being strong as of late. Here is it's five day chart. Now this, the seventeen series of Calls that expires in two days. They do look cheap after hitting a high of $1.55 on the day. If we look at a 30 day chart we will see that the stock is still in an uptrend. Why not look at the Call options one and two weeks out? Here are the seventeen series of Calls one and two weeks out They would be much safer to play and I will check in on these ones at a later date. So what happened on the Thursday opening? Let's switch gears for a moment and look at how Roku, a much higher priced stock opened and look at how their Call options moved.

Power Surges in Option Trading

If your an "Uber" driver working in the downtown core of major cities you know about power surges. If a subway breaks down and the system is broken hundreds of people suddenly need rides. At the very same time the rates you charge will spike up. That's the best time for "Uber" drivers to be out driving. Well playing options on stocks with a day or two to go until they are about to expire is kind of the same thing. Friday May 7th was one of those days. If we look at "Boeing" and "Caterpillar" we will see two examples of what I am talking about. First "Boeing" and it's one day chart and a look at it's 230 "Call" options and it's 232.50 Call" options. What specifically we are looking at is the highs and lows on the trading price of the option series. In the first case there are two sets of numbers. A low of .51 and a high of 6.90 and a low of .16 and a high of 3.40 That's the price swings of the options in one day.
Here now is a look at the "Caterpillar" "Call" options which mimic these same price movements. In this case we are looking at the 235 and 237.50 series of "Call" options and the numbers are a low of .80 and a high of 6.87 and a low of .18 and a high of 4.40
What was the juice that made for these staggering returns? Well in the case of "Boeing" is was the price drop that happened on the opening at 9:34 and in the case of "Caterpillar" it was the opening price drop that happened at 9:33 also on the opening. To catch it at it's extreme your timing had to be perfect. My timing of in at .60 and out at 1.81 on "Caterpillar" that I referenced in my last blog shows that my timing skills need some honing. Uber driver's take note. If your out driving on a Friday morning during one of your surges do what you do best and just keep driving. Don't be fiddling on your phone trying to make these kind of trades. The End.


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