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A Jumpy Week For Caterpillar - A Week With Earning Reports

Here is Thursday's trading on the day on Caterpillar. Here is how the $417.50 calls that expire tomorrow closed the day. Something happened this week. Caterpillar had a quarterly earning report come out on Tuesday. It's stock trading action survived this news unscathed. Here is it's five day chart as of the end of Thursday. Maybe the 420.00 or the 422.50 series Calls are better to look at? Here they are. But wait. Deere got clobbered today on the release of a quarterly earning's report. Why didn't Caterpillar sell off in price in sympathy? It shoud have. Deere sold off $34.70. For this reason alone I would be more inclined to purshase the Puts. Here is the series I would consider. To be continued.

Buying Caterpillar - A "Catching a Falling Knife Trade".

In with two "Calls" at $1.59 each which expire the next day. The stock is down ten dollars in three days on no real news. This kind of judgement calls is sometimes difficult to make. The stock seems to dropping on light volume which is better than on heavy volume. It's a "no news scenario".
Let's see what happens next. A 10:30 a.m. update, one hour after I got in. I am down something like 37%. At this point in time it has turned into a "sit-and-wait" hold. What I like better is an"in-and-out" in thirty minute trade.
Now another look at it at 11:30 a.m. with the D.J.I. now up over 225 points. Remember I got in at $1.59 a contract. I don't enjoy these having to wait until Friday morning situations.
There was a bounce on Friday morning and I got out. It's difficult to read but it says two contracts sold at $3.60 each at 9:49.a.m. Here is it's morning chart.
Would I make this kind of trade again? I am attracted to these "falling knife" chart formations. This one turned out OK for me. My point is, the next time you see one of these chart formations happening remember this blog and my comments about jumping in to quickly. Hopefully my comments will help in saving you some money.

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