Featured

A Look At "Ford" Calls On A Tuesday Morning Opening. FORD BLOGS CAN BE A GOOD READ

Here is how it seems to be set up to go. How it all turns out might surprise you. We are expecting a slightly weak opening on the price on Ford's stock price this morning and on the D.J.I.A. index. Yes there is fresh news on the Ford Motor Company before the opening. They have announced yet another recall. This time it's for "wiper blade" issues on over 400,000 vehicles. That number is not a typing error. At least it's not a recall for engine or transmission problems. In an odd sort of way this news will help to get past customers back into their showrooms for like thirty minutes or so. The recall should be a quick, one time fix. It's still however going to cost them massive headaches to organize and millions of dollars. What an inconvience for a large number of drivers. Look at these two premarket readouts, the second one at 9:00 a.m. Can you see Ford's stock price trading down in the premarkets?. The question is how much will the 11.5 series of Calls d...
Post a Comment

Ford Puts

The stock has had a nice five day move.  Up until today that is.

Short term options on stocks in the ten dollar range need to be purchased in multiples of ten or more because commissions are crazy expensive on options in this price range. At least they are in Canada.. Here is a look at the price of Puts yesterday on a series of Puts that will expire tomorrow.
Bid $.04 or $4.00 per contract and ask $.05 or $5.00 per contract. They actually traded down to a low of $.02 on the day. Now here is a look at them today, which is a Thursday.
Was there a catastrophe drop in the markets to make this  happen?  Not really.
Trading options on ten dollar stocks with two days to go is full of surprises. I have talked about Ford options before. I will provide an update to this blog after the markets close tomorrow which is when these Puts expire.  Ford options have good liquidity and tight spreads. They often change materially in price in a one hour period of time .I also note that Ford and Stellantis are now trading for about the same price. G.M. did a major recent buy back program and is trading at a higher price this year than last year.  The trading patterns of all three of these companies get constantly bantered around with all of these tariff  talks happenings. Now here is what happened on Friday.  First the markets were down.
Now this. Friday's trading chart and a look at how the 10.5 series of Puts closed the week.

Look at the swings in it's price. Look at Ford's one day (Friday) trading pattern. Back at noon when the price of the stock was over $10.50 the holders on these Puts might have being biting their nails. 

If your new to this game don't try trading them on Fridays.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more