Featured

What Happens When You Get Four Stocks All In The Same Sector Going Up In One Day On A Monday?

First of all it usually means something good is going to happen in the sector. It doesn't really matter what it is or why. This time it's in a sector we can call "used vehicle car sales". Some option traders trade exclusively in this sector as you sometimes see blocks of 20, 25 or 50 contracts trade at one time. Well, not so much as of late. It's big "retail-money" or trades made by wealthy individuals. Why spend millions of dollars building up a car dealership empire when you can follow and profit from what is happening in the industry just playing stocks and options on it in the right direction? That plus the advantage being able to take holidays when ever you want. Here they are. 1) NOW HERE IS A CHART OF CARVANNA. I have done recent blogs on this one. Here is it's five day chart. Is everyone hoping for interest rates cuts? (Jerome-Powell-Jackson-Hole Annual Summit) to come later this week, just another speech by some old man). If rate cuts star...
Post a Comment

Turn Around Situations On A Tuesday - Walmart

First of all I don't really like playing one week options on stocks on a Tuesday. I would rather wait until Wednesday and look for a mid-week reset in the markets. That said, Walmart's one hour sell off on a Tuesday morning kind of tweaked my interest. Let's follow this together a see what happens.
One observation. Look at the volume of trading in the lowest series of call, the 90 series. They are the ones to stand to gain the most in any mini-short-term uptick. Yet then again, maybe the stock will continue to go lower. Here is it's five day chart as of seventeen minutes earlier.
Now the indexes.
Now a few minutes later at 11:02 a.m.
Now the same three series of Call options starting with the lowest striking priced options and the ones with the lowest trading volume.
A bid of $1.01-$1.08 has now jumped to $1.22 to $1.29. Doing the math on the higher two series offers equally as impressive gains.
Purchasing on contracts sizes of 10 or 20 could eke out small gains. This kind of stuff goes on all the time. The danger of this is of course that this rebound could quickly "Peter out". I would rather do it on a Wednesday to try and catch a mid week turnaround rally. I will show you the end of day closing readouts later. The action at 3:00 p.m..
At this point in time I would get out and just call it a day.
Notice now the sideward trend kicking into the afternoon trading. Short term option traders need not play these choppy sideways markets. Proof of this is shown in these following three readings.
Notice the wide "bid" and "ask" in the 90 series of Calls at the close?. Why is this? Well the option makers are giving themselves protection from what the morning opening bell might bring. Who needs to be part of this indecisiveness? The next two series of options also closed weak.
Who wants to be a daytrader? The DJIA closed down the day 178 points.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more