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Costco. It's Short Term Options

 Options on stocks in the $1,000  range often move  50%  or more in only a matter of  minutes on the opening on Wednesday and Thursday's . The trick is to  anticipate correctly which way the markets are going to move. That's a fools game you might say? Yes and no. It may not be a game you ever play but it might be something to consider to put in your bag of tricks when you are on a role. One thousand dollar stocks sometimes move five, ten or fifteen dollars on the day. If you have profits it's best to take them quickly. Costco is a prime example of that. Let's look at this mornings action. First it's five day and one day charts. Tuesday's trading was kind of choppy. Might it drop on the opening tomorrow? Here is a look at where the 1,035 series of Puts closed that expire this Friday. They closed at $8.50. It looks like Costco cycled up about five times yesterday. Given a weak market opening doesn't it stand to reason a three or four or five dollar will be i...
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Towards Understanding How Some Companies Have Their Option Series Set Up Differently.

Trying to understand what a company does is often a mindless exercise. Look at these company names. HubSpot, ServiceNow, Cloudflare, Dynatrace, Broadcom, Tradeweb Markets, Vertic and Quanta Sevices. The list of how many high tech out there is overwhelming and some of these stocks trade in the $600.00, $700.00 and $1,000 range! So when I do my little blogs tracking movements of like one dollar on Walmart that get me excited what world am I really playing in? Hold that thought. Some option traders like to play options on stocks where the striking prices and days to expiracy are structured in a different way. I now want to show you one example of what I am talking about. I will use the stock Interactive Brokers to show you how things are set up differently. There are countless other examples I could use.
Now it's last five days of trading. It's up five or ten dollars in two trading sessions.
Now there are two things I want to point out. First is a calendar list of when options on this stock expire. Unlike other other stocks like Walmart it's not on a weekly schedule.
The near term options expire every thirty days and the longer term options are set even further apart. With the example of Walmart I have used before the prices of it's Calls and Puts with a day or two until expiracy can be somewhat erratic which makes them a delight for option traders. With one and two month out options not so much so. Then there is a difference in how striking prices are set up. Here is an example of what I am talking about.
Spreads that are five dollars apart. With this kind of a market setup a fifty cent move during a morning trading session is going to do next to nothing in moving the "bid" and "ask" on a Call or Put option. Moves this small will barely move the needle. The point is that these types of options are better designed for traders who want to check in on their option positions every couple of days or even weeks and not every couple of hours. It's a different approach to option trading. In some ways it can be even more discouraging if your position slides offside. Here is a look at two Call option positions on Interactive Brokers. They both have two weeks of trading life in them.
Now here is the daily trading activity on it last Friday which corresponds to these two option series. Can you see the morning swing of $4.00?
Now for a statement that might contradict an above comments I have made. Yes these options have price swings which can be day traded and yes the liquidity in these options are decent. Note the ninety cent spread on the "in-the-money" series of options and a forty cent spread on the "out-of-money" spread. That's reasonable. In some way these longer term options are "big boy" trades where option traders are rewarded for catching five or ten day trends. All of these leads us to a discussion of something in option trading called "leaps". These are even longer term option trades. Options like a year or two out. That's a dicussion for another day.
In future blogs I will look at the leverage that these longer term options provide. ***** Read my blog (see one of my December 2023 blogs) entitled " A Fireside Chat. One Year Options or 30 Day Options. Which Is Better?" Back then I was talking about the same thing, showing Disney as an example.
The 95 series of Disney Call we were talking about in December of 2023 would have paid off nicely by March of 2024.

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