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The Falling Off A Cliff Chart. I.B.M.

I.b.m. had a bad week. Here is how bad it was. Sometimes you see charts like this. It was down $74.89 on the week. What happened? The headlines said "I.B.M. just sent a warning to dividend investors". Something about it missing earnings forecasts because of an artificial-intelligence-related shift in it's customers spending. That is a new one that we don't hear very often. Which way is this stock going to now move? It's probably dumb to be chasing this when the outcome will most likely be all so random. Let's share the experience together. Here is what the Calls and Puts closest to what the stock is trading at are doing going into Monday morning's action. Don't gasp and say that the premiums exorbitant? They are not. Something is happening in our markets. I.B.M. got a real shakeout. Which way do you play it? Buying in on a Friday and cashing out on the following Monday morning opening would be one way however that opportunity is now missed. These opt...

Deere On Earnings and Boeing

Here is a look at Deere towards the end of the afternoon after a premarket earnings report was released. It got beat up pretty bad. What we are now looking at is a printout of one Deere option series which will be expiring the next day. This snapshot was taken at 3:37 p.m.. Would now be a good time to buy into these 395 Calls and try to play tomorrow's potential upside? The stock is rebounding from a significant dip.
Lets look at how these options traded the next day. Can you see they hit a high of $4.65 sometime during the following day?
I did two very small trades on the Friday morning bounce back. I just wanted to cover my commissions and make a touch. Remember, Deere options are extremely difficult to play and with only hours to go before this series of Call options expire its not bad to take a profit whenever one materializes.
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My times in were 10:14 to 10:31 a.m. and 10:59 to 11.09 a.m. I missed the elusive high of $4.65 which happened after I got out. Part Two. Can you make money looking for bounces? Look a Boeing's five day trading chart last week and look at how it bounced on Thursday.
Guess what I picked up on Wednesday? "Out-of-money" Boeing Calls, 10 of the 190's, they were way "out-of-the money" Calls and 4, 185 Calls. I got lucky and got the bounce I needed on Thursday morning to make out alright. I did, however sell out to quickly - it's always difficult to guess the top, especially when holding "out-of-the-money" soon to expire positions.
Part two. Now let's move forward to looking at holding Boeing over the weekend. It sometimes pops on Monday mornings. I got in on Friday at 3:57 p.m. and out on Monday at 10:15 a.m. Getting out is always the tough part, trying to pick the correct exit point. This time I was off a bit. I got nervous on the fist dip and should have waited longer. In at $1.06 and out at $1.56.
Here is how the stock traded on Monday.
It dropped on a weak opening and then had some strong legs. It lost steam towards the end of the day. To be continued.

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