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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Monday

Mondays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped upwards a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. The Puts are off about 50% on the day at this point in time. This is a 1:36 p.m.readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It's Puts. Why consider them? It would seem like kind of a random thing to do. Why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on all of last weeks business articles talking about how Caterpillar could potentially benefit from all this new AI movement. Caterpillar afterall builds heavy equipment which can be used in the construction of nuclear reactors. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. That's understandable. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this...
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Nio And An Earnings Report

Todays action is that a quarterly report came out showing that their car production number were down for the quarter. I have talked about this company before. Back on June 13th I wrote about the stock jumping on the news that their prices were coming down. Last November 28th I wrote about production output increasing and I wrote about the company on March 11th, 2022, and Feb 27th, 2022 when it was trading at $20.94. Back in November 2020 it was trading for over $60.00. One car they race is the fastest electric car in the world. Here is how things looked this morning after this report.
More news.
So now what. It's one year chart.
Now this. Look at how it dropped on the opening.
Now this. Nio was down $1.16 nine minutes into the opening action.
So what make of all this. Production is off, the stock is now discounted, buy "Calls" like five months out for protection and try to get a quick rebound. Here is what happened.
In at $163 and out at $238. Nio is not going away and this morning's dip was an overeaction. Plays like this are more common than you might think.** Here is a look at it a few days later. Mathematically it's inprobable that the "open interest" number has remained unchanged.

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