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Is Tesla A Good Robot Play?

There's going to be pushback if Musk decides to turn his auto production lines into robot making production lines. That's a new fear. It is also noted that used Teslas are dropping in value quickly. Tesla was down in price $5.62 last week. How is Musk going to make this new venture work? Might his first generation of robots like his cybertrucks quickly become obsolete? If you think about it, maybe existing shareholders are already lightening up on their stock positions knowing that a bumpy ride could soon be on the horizon. Now a new topic. How much do the "three-month-out-Calls-and-Puts" on Tesla cost? That's a fair question and here is the answer. Now we also need to look at how it has traded in the last three months. The stock is down about $60.00 over that period of time. Anything is possible with these three month out option series. Now this, Tesla drops on the Monday February 23th opening. The markets are having a bad day. Look now at what the May 26t...
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An Example of Call Options on Caterpillar Prior to an Earnings Release

Not all retail option traders are up to the challenge. What am I talking about? Caterpillar Calls just before an earnings release.This is a blogging site about Caterpillar Calls and Caterpillar Puts. The stock could have a huge jump if the earnings beat expectations or investors could be worried a recession looms. Look at both Caterpillars thirty day and five day charts.
Now look at what the 262.50 Calls are priced at which expire at the end of the week (August 4th).
Very few option traders are playing them. Normal in my opinion should be over 1,000 contracts in a series like this trading everyday and a few thousand open interest contracts. With global warming more heavy equipment will always be needed to rebuild our roads and bridges getting washed away by floods. That plus Caterpillar recently come to terms on their contract talks and supply chain issues are getting better. Did you see how Boeing jumped in price on it's earning report a few days back? Caterpillar could jump too. Here is Boeing's chart in reaction to it's earnings report.
These 262.50 Calls cost about $500.00 a contract to purchase which is to rich for many option players to buy into. I get that. I also understand that the stock is already up over $20.00 in the last month so some shareholders may be thinking of selling out on the release of good news. Looking at Boeing once again look at the open interest on it's slightly "out-of-the money" Calls that are to expire in five trading days. That to me is a normal volume of trading.
Why is there so much caution in the air? One reason is that if Caterpillar jumped five dollars on good news that wouldn't move the needle on it's Call options all that much. Maybe a 50 or 60% gain. Built into the options price is five days of time value which makes them somewhat expensive. What do I expect? I expect a gain. **August 1st. Here is their earnings report.
Let's check back in a day or two to see how the needle moved on this stock. It jumped. The 262.50 Calls were up over 400%.
Wow. It was a crazy gain. Now part two. Let's go on a few days to see what is happening.
Here now is how it finished out the week.
Timing was everything.

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