Featured

Tesla - One Day Options. Not Your Typical Read

This blog is going to be a tough read because it tries to track Tesla's early morning option trading in the last day of trading in the October 18th 220 series of Tesla Calls. Critics of "one day" options are having a hayday in pointing out these "one-day-to expiring" options are a mockery to concept of sound financial investing. Here is Tesla's premarket trading price in the 220 series of Calls at 9:29 a.m. on Friday Oct. 18th. They are flat. Remember last Friday was an exceptional day for the Tesla stock with it being hit with a $21.14 drop on the day. Do today's traders remember this? Probably not. Why should they? It's a given this stock can be volatile. Option traders playing the downside last Friday on Telsa made out like bandits. Now it's 9:31 a.m.reading. Up only eleven cents. Option traders are in a period of time where they have to deal with early morning trading jitters. Is there a glimmer of hope that this stock might bounce up one

An Example of Call Options on Caterpillar Prior to an Earnings Release

Not all retail option traders are up to the challenge. What am I talking about? Caterpillar Calls just before an earnings release.This is a blogging site about Caterpillar Calls and Caterpillar Puts. The stock could have a huge jump if the earnings beat expectations or investors could be worried a recession looms. Look at both Caterpillars thirty day and five day charts.
Now look at what the 262.50 Calls are priced at which expire at the end of the week (August 4th).
Very few option traders are playing them. Normal in my opinion should be over 1,000 contracts in a series like this trading everyday and a few thousand open interest contracts. With global warming more heavy equipment will always be needed to rebuild our roads and bridges getting washed away by floods. That plus Caterpillar recently come to terms on their contract talks and supply chain issues are getting better. Did you see how Boeing jumped in price on it's earning report a few days back? Caterpillar could jump too. Here is Boeing's chart in reaction to thier earnings report.
These 262.50 Calls cost about $500.00 a contract to purchase which is to rich for many option players to buy into. I get that. I also understand that the stock is already up over $20.00 in the last month so some shareholders may be thinking of selling out on the release of good news. Looking at Boeing once again look at the open interest on it's slightly "out-of-the money" Calls that are to expire in five trading days.That to me is a normal volume of trading.
Why is there so much caution in the air? One reason is that if Caterpillar jumped five dollars on good news that wouldn't move the needle on it's Call options all that much. Maybe a 50 or 60% gain. Built into the options price is five days of time value which makes them somewhat expensive. What do I expect? I expect a gain. **August 1st. Here is their earnings report.
Let's check back in a day or two to see how the needle moved on this stock. It jumped. The 262.50 Calls well up over 400%.
Wow. It was a crazy gain. PART TWO Let's go on a few days to see what is happening.
Now here is how it finished the week.
Timing was everything.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Deere Lays Off /Tesla / Eli Lilly/ Home Depot/ Nio

I Wonder How The Back Office Is Going To Handle My Complaint