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Could These G.M. Puts Go up 50% This Week?

Fighting strong stocks is a tough game especially with the indexes seemingly so strong. The Nasdaq Composite ended the holiday week at 23,366 - up 5.8% over four days. The DJIA turned up last week after a four-week slide. Now this. G.M. only reports it's production numbers on a quarterly basis and it's next report is not due out until 2026. I also know that about six weeks ago G.M. popped on an earnings report. So why will this week's stock performance be anything different for G.M. than last week? I don't have an exact reason however I just want you to hone in on this series of Puts which expire in two weeks. The open interest in this series of Puts is next to nothing. Two weeks away is a long time in the option market. I feel that G.M. is overextended as it seems to sell off near the close everyday. Yet then again, what do I know? Attempting to pick the tops of these swings is most often a losing proposition.
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The Trade Of The Year On Caterpillar Calls. It's No Surprise It Happened On A Friday

In a past blog Caterpillar averted a strike and it was noted that the stock jumped to the moon on that news. Caterpillar has a large following and likes good news-made in America stories. Biden avoided his government running out of money late Thursday and on Friday the stock Caterpillar jumped to the moon. It opened higher and kept going up.There is no looking back now at what happened.
My May 29th blog talked about how Caterpillar had slight bounce last Friday morning and the light volume of option trading on it. With the stock going sideways to down all that week playing Call options on it was out of fashion. Things changed on Friday June 2nd. Caterpillar bounced. So here now is a look at how two "out-of-the-money" series of Call options traded on it on Friday.
Look at the open interest numbers going into Friday. Two hundred and ninety five contracts. Few traders were expecting the news to come when it did. This blog could now go in many directions. Last week both Caterpillar and Boeing struggled on the week and option trading volumes dried up. My attitude was not to trade, to wait for better days. I should have known better, the system is a little bit corrupt. Insiders could gain the most from a late Thursday release of good news. A one day pop in the next days options. That is what happened. On Friday the D.J.I. was up over 700 points. The one day options on Caterpillar were star performers. It was the "trade-of-the-year" on Caterpillar Calls. It doesn't look like any of the 100,000 or whatever the number of brokers and analysis there are out were clued into this action. So strange. * Also think about this. Caterpillar has something like 109,100 employees. I don't understand why there isn't more traders in on this action.

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