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This One Is Too Nervous To Watch. Pfizer

This is a short blog full of twists. Try to get through it. First a five day chart of Pfizer. chart. In the past week it was up $1.05 and it was the 7th most activity traded stock on the NYSE most active list. It's in a breakout mode. Look at how it traded over the last three years. This breakout mode might last a few days, weeks or months. This stock has a history of moving somewhat slower than most stocks. A second quarter earnings report comes out July 30th. If it's good that could add a touch to the stock's price. Now this. As a general rule stocks and options on stocks in this particular price range are difficult to play and in this case everyone is following the same story. Fred down the street and John around the corner and Mark across town are all dialed into the same commentary. There is nothing that really gives you an edge when it comes to playing it. That's the problem. Here now is a look at the Pfizer "next-week-out" $30.00 series of Call optio

Caterpillar, John Deere and Boeing. A Shakeout This Week.

Let's start with their one week charts.
A bad week to be playing Call options. Tomorrow Friday is a holiday so this weeks options expired today. Here is how Boeing traded on the day.
A reward for traders who were glued to their screens all week. Look at how at around 1:00 p.m. the 210 Calls and 212.50 "out-of-the-money" Calls popped.
In around 11:30 a.m. at .11 cents and out at 1:30 p.m. at $2.40. The 212.50 Calls were even more extreme. In at 11:30 a.m. for one dollar a contract and out at sixty-five dollars a contract.
Look at the Call volume. If you were glued to watching Boeing at that particular time you could have caught some of this action. In contrast look at this. Look at how the Caterpillar Calls were trading around 2:00 p.m. in the afternoon. Options on the last day of week that are expired have the rule that you must be out at 3:00 p.m. and not 4:00 p.m. Look at this one day chart at that particular time period.
Now look at this.
An open interest of only 37 contracts going into the day when often times that number is like 5,000. Caterpillar got grubbled all week and few traders were willing to play the upside. Here is how these Calls closed out the day and first here is how the D.J.I. closed out the day. Up 2 points.
Here it is. There was a bit of a rally from 2:06 p.m.to 2:30 p.m. and the above Calls would have went up about 75%. Ultimately however they ended up expiring worthless as also shown below.
Boeing was the trade of the day. Boeing has a constant stream on news being pumped out in contrast to Caterpillar and John Deere. It's the best of these three companies to be playing at times like this, hoping for needed good news.

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