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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

Caterpillar, John Deere and Boeing. A Shakeout This Week.

Let's start with their one week charts.
A bad week to be playing Call options. Tomorrow Friday is a holiday so this weeks options expired today. Here is how Boeing traded on the day.
A reward for traders who were glued to their screens all week. Look at how at around 1:00 p.m. the 210 Calls and 212.50 "out-of-the-money" Calls popped.
In around 11:30 a.m. at .11 cents and out at 1:30 p.m. at $2.40. The 212.50 Calls were even more extreme. In at 11:30 a.m. for one dollar a contract and out at sixty-five dollars a contract.
Look at the Call volume. If you were glued to watching Boeing at that particular time you could have caught some of this action. In contrast look at this. Look at how the Caterpillar Calls were trading around 2:00 p.m. in the afternoon. Options on the last day of week that are expired have the rule that you must be out at 3:00 p.m. and not 4:00 p.m. Look at this one day chart at that particular time period.
Now look at this.
An open interest of only 37 contracts going into the day when often times that number is like 5,000. Caterpillar got grubbled all week and few traders were willing to play the upside. Here is how these Calls closed out the day and first here is how the D.J.I. closed out the day. Up 2 points.
Here it is. There was a bit of a rally from 2:06 p.m.to 2:30 p.m. and the above Calls would have went up about 75%. Ultimately however they ended up expiring worthless as also shown below.
Boeing was the trade of the day. Boeing has a constant stream on news being pumped out in contrast to Caterpillar and John Deere. It's the best of these three companies to be playing at times like this, hoping for needed good news.

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