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The Sliding Door Syndrome - Hertz

 Open the door and guess what might happen? Who knows which way the winds will be blowing. The used auto car market got dumped on last week in the U.S, especially on tariffs new.  Trump said he might raise the tariffs on cars to more than 25%. It's a fickled  market. Here are a few of the sell offs. 1) Carvana Company. It sold off over $21.00 dollars on the day last Friday. They have a reputation for having share manipulations with a long history of  insider "buying-and selling-activities". They have a short interest of 5.3% . It didn't help much that the DJIA was down over 700 points on Friday. 2} Carmax also sold off on the week. They have an earnings report coming out and that could cause the stock to drop but maybe not. It could actually rally. Here is it's one week chart and a conference call dial in number. Listen to it if you like. I might be. Now here is a look at the 65 series of Calls on this stock that expire this coming Friday.  On Friday morning at ...

Caterpillar, John Deere and Boeing. A Shakeout This Week.

Let's start with their one week charts.
A bad week to be playing Call options. Tomorrow Friday is a holiday so this weeks options expired today. Here is how Boeing traded on the day.
A reward for traders who were glued to their screens all week. Look at how at around 1:00 p.m. the 210 Calls and 212.50 "out-of-the-money" Calls popped.
In around 11:30 a.m. at .11 cents and out at 1:30 p.m. at $2.40. The 212.50 Calls were even more extreme. In at 11:30 a.m. for one dollar a contract and out at sixty-five dollars a contract.
Look at the Call volume. If you were glued to watching Boeing at that particular time you could have caught some of this action. In contrast look at this. Look at how the Caterpillar Calls were trading around 2:00 p.m. in the afternoon. Options on the last day of week that are expired have the rule that you must be out at 3:00 p.m. and not 4:00 p.m. Look at this one day chart at that particular time period.
Now look at this.
An open interest of only 37 contracts going into the day when often times that number is like 5,000. Caterpillar got grubbled all week and few traders were willing to play the upside. Here is how these Calls closed out the day and first here is how the D.J.I. closed out the day. Up 2 points.
Here it is. There was a bit of a rally from 2:06 p.m.to 2:30 p.m. and the above Calls would have went up about 75%. Ultimately however they ended up expiring worthless as also shown below.
Boeing was the trade of the day. Boeing has a constant stream on news being pumped out in contrast to Caterpillar and John Deere. It's the best of these three companies to be playing at times like this, hoping for needed good news.

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