Featured

Get Ready For A Slug Of New Earning Reports

The stock Ford reports 7/30/2025 (Post-Market). In a July 2nd blog I did Ford talked about their June sales. Here is something I posted in that blog. Ford jumped $.50 cents on news of an increase in sales and this is how this one series of Calls (which were "out-of-the-money" with one day to go) jumped. This upward moment in price was like an once in a 100 day occurance. So will earning's be good this quarter? Has Ford's recent good news story now lost it's importance. It's only natural to be forward thinking. General Motors has earning report coming out before the market opens this Tuesday. The two stocks sometimes reflect the same market momentim. G.M. seems to have a lot of inventory sitting on dealer lots and popular You Tube scream that the car industry is now about to crash. Here is how things for G.M. are lined up to go. It's stock had the jutters all week. Investors are getting tired of hearing about consumers buying new at pre-tariff pricings...
Post a Comment

"Ford Motor Company" Blogs are Always the Easiest to Understand

PART ONE. It's a company that makes cars and trucks and the stock currently is at around $14.00 per share. Sell more vehicles on a monthly basis and the price of the stock will go up. That's pretty simple. Now read this latest news.
So was that all good news or bad news or a combination of both? Sales were down annually over 7%. Remember also how many of the previous news releases talked about a high number of trucks sitting in parking lots waiting for a few final parts before they can be shipped out. Here now is a look at the 14 series of Calls which will expire in five trading days.
They are trading at 20 dollars a contract so the break even number at the end of the week would have to be around $14.20 per share. PART TWO. I played the same series of Calls last week, buying them at 9:42 a.m. last Monday morning. Here are the two fills. It's about the same price now as it was last last week at the same time.
Now to answer the question of how I did. I was offside big time on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday but Ford popped Thursday morning and I got out ok.
Here is its five day chart. Imagine buying in on last Wednesday afternoon instead of on Monday morning like I did and getting out when it popped the next day!
Part Three. Here now is how the same series of the fourteen series of Calls closed out last Friday Dec 2nd. They were worth nothing because the stock closed under $14.00 a share. Can you see how highly leveraged these options can be? Part Four. Can you play options on Ford and continually make money? No. The stock wanders. They are however interesting to play on news releases and around earning seasons.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more