Featured

Tesla Calls That Expire In 55 Minutes At The End Of The Week.

First it's five day chart going into Friday's mid afternoon. It's January 2nd on a Friday. Is it time to make another trade to end your week? How stupid can you be? That's one way to look at it. You can see it jumped upwards on the opening (up like to $20.80) and then lost that gain. On the surface it appears that there there is no quick way to make money on this situation. If there was everyone would be playing them. Hold that thought. Look at these Calls which now expire in 55 minutes (for retail traders on Friday's last day to expiring options expire at 3:00 p.m. and not 4:00 p.m.) and look at the open interest number from the previous day. Why does it only read 290 contracts. Doesn't that number seem small? Well it has to be remembered that yesterday the stock closed just over $12.00 higher in price so these were at that time expensive "in-the-money" Calls at the start of the day and Call holders where hoping for a quick bounce ...
Post a Comment

Caterpillar Earning Report Plays

So tomorrow is the big day when Caterpillar releases it's second quarter earnings report. It is expected to be good. Boeing just had a great earnings report yesterday and analyst are expecting Caterpillar to also report decent numbers. Let's look at the five day trading charts on these two companies and this mornings super strong premarket indicators. (It's always good to be selling into strong premarket indicators because history tells us that they never stay strong forever). It's July 29th and Caterpillar's earning report is tomorrow.
Ford also just had their earning reports and good new also on that front.
So far so good? Good news everywhere right? It's only good news if you can capitalize on it. What am I implying? Well I don't want to digress to far off topic however option trading can be an exacerbating experience. I missed the Boeing and Ford trading opportunites despite the fact that I anticipated both of these two companies would do well. Do I beat myself up for not playing them? Not really. Playing the earning report game is never a sure thing. Sometimes the numbers can look good and the stock will drop. So where now do I want to go with this blog? I want to focus on the importance of seizing the moment and capitalizing on this morning's unique sweet spot. First, it's a Thursday morning and Caterpillars earning reports are still one day away. We are looking at the premarkets at 9:17 a.m. and we see Caterpillar's premarket price trading at $213.90 up $2.46. If you purchaed Caterpillar Call on Wednesday at a lower price why wait for the potential earnings report play on Friday to get out? Other computer generated trading platforms looking for short term profits are going to be selling out into any strenght of a Thursday morning the opening markets. Look at the $6.33 number on the Call options in the first few minutes of trading on the July 21st 210 Calls. Look then at how they dipped and rebounded back up at 11:46 a.m. Are you able to see how a second buying opportunity presented itself around 9:30 a.m.? Once again, all of this action was in anticipiation of a good news report on the following day which no one was entirely sure would happen.
** It takes work to get pumped up every morning to play this kind of game but if you follow Ford, Caterpillar and Boeing concurrently you will know that their earning reports come out all near the same time. For a few days in a row you will have to watch the markets with extra attention.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more