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Another Attempt To Explain Exxon Options.

There are times I feel safer playing Exxon Call and Put options than I do playing options on other companies. Why? Well today this happened and the options didn't move to much. What the heck was all that stuff? It was information that flows. It's humbling to read it. There are so many parts in motion which somehow mesh together to create Exxon's price at any one momeent. What I like about trading Exxon is that when it moves, it moves quickly. That plus when it does move the options on them move a chunk at a time. That can be a good thing. Here is Exxon's five day chart. It's had some recent really big moves. I picked something difficult. Two series of options on Exxon that expire at 3:00 p.m. tomorow. Here is how they closed today, a Thursday. Let's be clear. This is not a situation I would like to be in. Which way is the stock going to move on the opening? I note that there are four times more Calls outstanding than there are Puts. It's not uncommon t...
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Caterpillar Earning Report Plays

So tomorrow is the big day when Caterpillar releases it's second quarter earnings report. It is expected to be good. Boeing just had a great earnings report yesterday and analyst are expecting Caterpillar to also report decent numbers. Let's look at the five day trading charts on these two companies and this mornings super strong premarket indicators. (It's always good to be selling into strong premarket indicators because history tells us that they never stay strong forever). It's July 29th and Caterpillar's earning report is tomorrow.
Ford also just had their earning reports and good new also on that front.
So far so good? Good news everywhere right? It's only good news if you can capitalize on it. What am I implying? Well I don't want to digress to far off topic however option trading can be an exacerbating experience. I missed the Boeing and Ford trading opportunites despite the fact that I anticipated both of these two companies would do well. Do I beat myself up for not playing them? Not really. Playing the earning report game is never a sure thing. Sometimes the numbers can look good and the stock will drop. So where now do I want to go with this blog? I want to focus on the importance of seizing the moment and capitalizing on this morning's unique sweet spot. First, it's a Thursday morning and Caterpillars earning reports are still one day away. We are looking at the premarkets at 9:17 a.m. and we see Caterpillar's premarket price trading at $213.90 up $2.46. If you purchaed Caterpillar Call on Wednesday at a lower price why wait for the potential earnings report play on Friday to get out? Other computer generated trading platforms looking for short term profits are going to be selling out into any strenght of a Thursday morning the opening markets. Look at the $6.33 number on the Call options in the first few minutes of trading on the July 21st 210 Calls. Look then at how they dipped and rebounded back up at 11:46 a.m. Are you able to see how a second buying opportunity presented itself around 9:30 a.m.? Once again, all of this action was in anticipiation of a good news report on the following day which no one was entirely sure would happen.
** It takes work to get pumped up every morning to play this kind of game but if you follow Ford, Caterpillar and Boeing concurrently you will know that their earning reports come out all near the same time. For a few days in a row you will have to watch the markets with extra attention.

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