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Bad News On Caterpillar Going Into a Friday.

Here is how the stock traded on a Thursday.There was nothing unusual about the day. I am suprised they would dump this news on the market going into a Friday trading session. It messes up option traders. Doing this type of an announcement on a Tuesday prior to the markets opening would be a less disruptive day to do this. Here is the news. In a way this wasn't totally unexpected news. As they said, there were several other recent updates on this issue. Auto companies in their recent quarterly reports were harping on this issue. Look at how it dropped in price in the after market trading. Now here is how one series of Puts closed the day. Look at how this news totally caught the markets by suprise. The secrecy of this news is a credit to Caterpillar. If Caterpillar had this news are Deere Call holders going to get worried? Here is what happened on Friday morning. Now Deere which is now also trying to shake off this bad news. These two stocks tend to trade in similiar ways. He...
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Boeing and Caterpillar on Jan 6th With the DJI up 700 Points.

First some background information. The three and one year charts on Boeing and Caterpillar.
Now the Caterpillar three and one year chart.
Both stocks have had amazing upward moves in the last ninety days. That means playing Calls correct? Look at Friday's Call option action. First Boeing.
The 205 Calls surged ten fold on the day. Now Caterpillar.
The 245 Calls also surged upwards.
Another ten fold increase. With the Caterpillar Calls above one could have purchased ten contracts at $300.00 and sold out at $4,900.00. Let's now look at the one day chart to see how this would be possible.
Buying into this position around 9:45 a.m. in hindsight was the time to get in.
The following few points might better put all of this into perspective. 1) Commenting on past events of what has just happened is not that difficult to do. It's like going to a rocket launch and describing what just happened. The compelling reason I write about situations like this is because they do happen. Boeing and Caterpillar, both strong stocks in recent times do sometimes charge up on Fridays and if your willing to throw some money into Call options on the very day they expire you sometimes can be handsomely rewarded. 2) What are the odds Of Boeing or Caterpillar going up eight dollars in one day? I would guess about ten times a year. What are the odds of a slight morning decline before a rebound back up on one of these days? I would say eight out ten times. What we witnessed wasn't that abnormal. It's a mix of playing the strenght of the markets and a stock in a strong short term uptrend. 3) Friday morning option trading on options that expire that day is a game very few play for obvious reasons but it is also a game some option players specialize in. 4) One techique option players sometimes use is to buy into option positions just before the close of the markets on Thursday and sell into the strenght of premarkets openings. It's a bet on the opening higher. Are tenfold option price increases exclusive to stocks like Boeing and Caterpillar? Not really. Look at Tesla on Friday. The same thing happened.
Take note. Over 65,000 option contracts traded in the series shown in one day. Profits potentially made could help pay for new Telsa cars. Trading in one day options isn't really a secret.
Location: 4QMPH9W3+VX

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