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This One Is Too Nervous To Watch. Pfizer

This is a short blog full of twists. Try to get through it. First a five day chart of Pfizer. chart. In the past week it was up $1.05 and it was the 7th most activity traded stock on the NYSE most active list. It's in a breakout mode. Look at how it traded over the last three years. This breakout mode might last a few days, weeks or months. This stock has a history of moving somewhat slower than most stocks. A second quarter earnings report comes out July 30th. If it's good that could add a touch to the stock's price. Now this. As a general rule stocks and options on stocks in this particular price range are difficult to play and in this case everyone is following the same story. Fred down the street and John around the corner and Mark across town are all dialed into the same commentary. There is nothing that really gives you an edge when it comes to playing it. That's the problem. Here now is a look at the Pfizer "next-week-out" $30.00 series of Call optio

Boeing and Caterpillar on Jan 6th With the DJI up 700 Points.

First some background information. The three and one year charts on Boeing and Caterpillar.
Now the Caterpillar three and one year chart.
Both stocks have had amazing upward moves in the last ninety days. That means playing Calls correct? Look at Friday's Call option action. First Boeing.
The 205 Calls surged ten fold on the day. Now Caterpillar.
The 245 Calls also surged upwards.
Another ten fold increase. With the Caterpillar Calls above one could have purchased ten contracts at $300.00 and sold out at $4,900.00. Let's now look at the one day chart to see how this would be possible.
Buying into this position around 9:45 a.m. in hindsight was the time to get in.
The following few points might better put all of this into perspective. 1) Commenting on past events of what has just happened is not that difficult to do. It's like going to a rocket launch and describing what just happened. The compelling reason I write about situations like this is because they do happen. Boeing and Caterpillar, both strong stocks in recent times do sometimes charge up on Fridays and if your willing to throw some money into Call options on the very day they expire you sometimes can be handsomely rewarded. 2) What are the odds Of Boeing or Caterpillar going up eight dollars in one day? I would guess about ten times a year. What are the odds of a slight morning decline before a rebound back up on one of these days? I would say eight out ten times. What we witnessed wasn't that abnormal. It's a mix of playing the strenght of the markets and a stock in a strong short term uptrend. 3) Friday morning option trading on options that expire that day is a game very few play for obvious reasons but it is also a game some option players specialize in. 4) One techique option players sometimes use is to buy into option positions just before the close of the markets on Thursday and sell into the strenght of premarkets openings. It's a bet on the opening higher. Are tenfold option price increases exclusive to stocks like Boeing and Caterpillar? Not really. Look at Tesla on Friday. The same thing happened.
Take note. Over 65,000 option contracts traded in the series shown in one day. Profits potentially made could help pay for new Telsa cars. Trading in one day options isn't really a secret.

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