What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

BlackBerry - How Long Will the Wait Be for This Company to Turn a Profit?

I want to begin this blog by saying I am embarrassed to be writing about this company. So many investors know so much more about this company than I do. I am not privy to any inside information. I have just scanned a fifty nine page financial report on the company that you can find on the website "Sedar". I note a recent litigation settlement. The company seems to think thats all part of doing business and I note they sold their company aircraft. There are 577 million shares outstanding and they lose money. Shareholders have not had much to cheer about so far this year. Here is a three year chart and year to date chart.
So far so good? Are you wondering where I am going with all this? First I want to talk about the big bounces it had in each of the last two years. Other stocks too had unusual bounces like this one. I mentioned in a blog last May the bounce on a stock called Sundial once had. Please read this next paragraph. It's the essence of what "meme stocks" are all about. Blackberry unexplainably got sucked into this "meme stock" mentality.
Might BlackBerry ever regain some of it's meme stock followers? That is one question somewhat worthy of consideration which the markets are totally discounting. I get it. Other meme stocks are also beat up. Option players are now happy playing hot things like Caterpillar jumping up five dollars each day. BlackBerry Call options are now totally out of fashion. Now here is the hard part about writing this blog. The part about selling the sizzle as to why I think better times are just around the corner. The big question is, if they are then why isn't anyone recognizing this? Yet then again, why hold Call options on a stock which is in decline? Is BlackBerry really now onto something good? Read this.
Now also read this. If do you any research you will learn that BlackBerry products are now incorporated into the designs of millions of vehicles already on the road.
Is it now time to be considering medium term Call options on BlackBerry? Let me say maybe. Look at the volume on one of their short term Call options series that expire on December 23st 2022. It looks like someone just closed out their postion of seven contracts.
577 million shares outstanding and zero open Call options positions on the Dec 23 $4.50 Calls which now expire in about 45 days. These are the ones close to being "in-the-money" and potentially most likely to bounce on any good news. It's absurd. At some point in time there will have to be glimpses of better times ahead. Remember also that it was recently considered to be a meme stock. Why is it now so out of fashion? Might I suggest that the least you can do to follow this situation is to register online for company updates. P.S. Maybe I should write a blog about the January 2024 Calls. So much could happen in a one year time period.** BlackBerry has entered a phase where it not big on doing news releases and not big on drawing attention to themselves. Disgruntled shareholders are kind of stuck in limbo waiting for better days. * a look at this stock the morning after this blog.
(This is also interesting).


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