What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Ford - Earnings Come Out This Week. The Action on Monday - Thursday - This One Is A Good Read.

It starts off slowly.... a storm in the brew. Earning reports are coming out for a multitude of companies this week. G.M. is one and a day later Ford. Rising rates means lower vehicle sales. But what's going to happen when the first 25,000 Ford electric truck drivers start to tell their friends about them? It's one of the weeks of the year many odd balls like me look forward to. So much can happen. It will be quite a ride.Here is where the 13 series of Calls and Puts are trading at 9:42 a.m..
Notice the bids and asks are tight which I like so that every ten cent move in the stock's price sets them off in different directions. Here now is what it's five day chart looks like now at 10:05 a.m. going into an earnings release this Wednesday.
Ford didn't move all day and here the closing Call and Put readings.
Now here is the news going into Tuesday's markets.
Now a look at the Ford options twenty minutes after the opening bell.
It is interesting to think how G.M.'s news might be helping to drag down Ford and if that could offer a trading strategy going forward. Now an update at 1:08 p.m. on Tuesday.
Here is how Ford closed on Tuesday in a down market day.
Two notes. The option makers have done a wonderful job of holding both the Calls and Puts Flat over the last two days and G.M. and Ford both are reporting their earning reports at the start of the week and not the end of the week not to cause havoc with near the end of the week option trading. With stock not up today the expectations are somewhat muted as for tomorrow's earning report. It's now Wednesday and the stock jumped a touch. The Calls jumped from yesterday and the Puts fell. It would have taken guts to purchase the Calls early this morning with the G.M. bad news story still fresh in the air.The earnings come out after the closing bell. He is today's action.
Let's watch Ford jump on the opening tomorrow.
Now here is one look at the Call optons after this morning pop. Timing was everything.
This kind of action doesn't happen very often. You can use all of this material as reference material the next time Ford has an earnings report out. Four times a year this stock is prone to this kind of action.


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