Featured

A Jumpy Week For Caterpillar - A Week With Earning Reports

Here is Thursday's trading on the day on Caterpillar. Here is how the $417.50 calls that expire tomorrow closed the day. Something happened this week. Caterpillar had a quarterly earning report come out on Tuesday. It's stock trading action survived this news unscathed. Here is it's five day chart as of the end of Thursday. Maybe the 420.00 or the 422.50 series Calls are better to look at? Here they are. But wait. Deere got clobbered today on the release of a quarterly earning's report. Why didn't Caterpillar sell off in price in sympathy? It shoud have. Deere sold off $34.70. For this reason alone I would be more inclined to purshase the Puts. Here is the series I would consider. To be continued.
Post a Comment

Ford - Earnings Come Out This Week. The Action on Monday - Thursday - This One Is A Good Read.

It starts off slowly.... a storm in the brew. Earning reports are coming out for a multitude of companies this week. G.M. is one and a day later Ford. Rising rates means lower vehicle sales. But what's going to happen when the first 25,000 Ford electric truck drivers start to tell their friends about them? It's one of the weeks of the year many odd balls like me look forward to. So much can happen. It will be quite a ride.Here is where the 13 series of Calls and Puts are trading at 9:42 a.m..
Notice the bids and asks are tight which I like so that every ten cent move in the stock's price sets them off in different directions. Here now is what it's five day chart looks like now at 10:05 a.m. going into an earnings release this Wednesday.
Ford didn't move all day and here the closing Call and Put readings.
Now here is the news going into Tuesday's markets.
Now a look at the Ford options twenty minutes after the opening bell.
"/>
It is interesting to think how G.M.'s news might be helping to drag down Ford and if that could offer a trading strategy going forward. Now an update at 1:08 p.m. on Tuesday.
Here is how Ford closed on Tuesday in a down market day.
Two notes. The option makers have done a wonderful job of holding both the Calls and Puts Flat over the last two days and G.M. and Ford both are reporting their earning reports at the start of the week and not the end of the week not to cause havoc with near the end of the week option trading. With stock not up today the expectations are somewhat muted as for tomorrow's earning report. It's now Wednesday and the stock jumped a touch. The Calls jumped from yesterday and the Puts fell. It would have taken guts to purchase the Calls early this morning with the G.M. bad news story still fresh in the air.The earnings come out after the closing bell. He is today's action.
Let's watch Ford jump on the opening tomorrow.
Now here is one look at the Call optons after this morning pop. Timing was everything.
This kind of action doesn't happen very often. You can use all of this material as reference material the next time Ford has an earnings report out. Four times a year this stock is prone to this kind of action.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more