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Why The Appeal Of Trading Caterpillar Options Is Now Diminishing

In previous blogs I looked at Caterpillar spiking upwards through the $1,000.00 barrier for the very first time. Twenty and thirty and forty dollar daily jumps on the stock were the norm. Today we are entering more sobering times. Pundits are now commenting on the upcoming release on August 4th of Caterpillar's quarterly earning report. That is not far away. The stock has doubled in price in a relatively short period of time. Is the party over? Look at Caterpillars one year chart. The companies earnings have not doubled in the last year. Far from it. So now what? Buy a Put option thirty days out in the hopes the stock might drop ten percent on a more normalized earning's report? Maybe. Here is an example of the cost of what one of these Puts would look like. Given it's current bid and ask the stock would have to drop to the $1,005.00 just to break even. It could, however most active option day traders are seeking opportunities which can play out in hours or in a day. Case...
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Ford - Earnings Come Out This Week. The Action on Monday - Thursday - This One Is A Good Read.

It starts off slowly.... a storm in the brew. Earning reports are coming out for a multitude of companies this week. G.M. is one and a day later Ford. Rising rates means lower vehicle sales. But what's going to happen when the first 25,000 Ford electric truck drivers start to tell their friends about them? It's one of the weeks of the year many odd balls like me look forward to. So much can happen. It will be quite a ride.Here is where the 13 series of Calls and Puts are trading at 9:42 a.m..
Notice the bids and asks are tight which I like so that every ten cent move in the stock's price sets them off in different directions. Here now is what it's five day chart looks like now at 10:05 a.m. going into an earnings release this Wednesday.
Ford didn't move all day and here the closing Call and Put readings.
Now here is the news going into Tuesday's markets.
Now a look at the Ford options twenty minutes after the opening bell.
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It is interesting to think how G.M.'s news might be helping to drag down Ford and if that could offer a trading strategy going forward. Now an update at 1:08 p.m. on Tuesday.
Here is how Ford closed on Tuesday in a down market day.
Two notes. The option makers have done a wonderful job of holding both the Calls and Puts Flat over the last two days and G.M. and Ford both are reporting their earning reports at the start of the week and not the end of the week not to cause havoc with near the end of the week option trading. With stock not up today the expectations are somewhat muted as for tomorrow's earning report. It's now Wednesday and the stock jumped a touch. The Calls jumped from yesterday and the Puts fell. It would have taken guts to purchase the Calls early this morning with the G.M. bad news story still fresh in the air.The earnings come out after the closing bell. He is today's action.
Let's watch Ford jump on the opening tomorrow.
Now here is one look at the Call optons after this morning pop. Timing was everything.
This kind of action doesn't happen very often. You can use all of this material as reference material the next time Ford has an earnings report out. Four times a year this stock is prone to this kind of action.

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