Featured

Option Trading Strategies To Avoid.

Ford Call Options on a Monday morning that expire at the end of this week. Had you bought the Calls on it on Friday morning that expired that afternoon you would have made out very well. Here is what Ai says. Now this, the 12 series of Calls options on a Monday morning that expire at the end of the week. They took a slight dip. Here is it's Monday morning chart. Here is a look at the same options twenty one minutes later. Traders have bought in on this dip. Is this trading strategy, buying this weeks Calls on a Monday morning on a stock hitting a fifty-two week high a prudent thing to be doing? Or could this be a question of coming to the party to late? This is the concern. Why not purchase instead "in-the-money-Calls" with one month's trading life in them still to go? That would be a safer strategy. Their next earnings report comes out on October 27th. Here is how other stocks are trading. It's a mixed bag. So now it becomes a waiting game and this is on...
Post a Comment

Ford - Earnings Come Out This Week. The Action on Monday - Thursday - This One Is A Good Read.

It starts off slowly.... a storm in the brew. Earning reports are coming out for a multitude of companies this week. G.M. is one and a day later Ford. Rising rates means lower vehicle sales. But what's going to happen when the first 25,000 Ford electric truck drivers start to tell their friends about them? It's one of the weeks of the year many odd balls like me look forward to. So much can happen. It will be quite a ride.Here is where the 13 series of Calls and Puts are trading at 9:42 a.m..
Notice the bids and asks are tight which I like so that every ten cent move in the stock's price sets them off in different directions. Here now is what it's five day chart looks like now at 10:05 a.m. going into an earnings release this Wednesday.
Ford didn't move all day and here the closing Call and Put readings.
Now here is the news going into Tuesday's markets.
Now a look at the Ford options twenty minutes after the opening bell.
"/>
It is interesting to think how G.M.'s news might be helping to drag down Ford and if that could offer a trading strategy going forward. Now an update at 1:08 p.m. on Tuesday.
Here is how Ford closed on Tuesday in a down market day.
Two notes. The option makers have done a wonderful job of holding both the Calls and Puts Flat over the last two days and G.M. and Ford both are reporting their earning reports at the start of the week and not the end of the week not to cause havoc with near the end of the week option trading. With stock not up today the expectations are somewhat muted as for tomorrow's earning report. It's now Wednesday and the stock jumped a touch. The Calls jumped from yesterday and the Puts fell. It would have taken guts to purchase the Calls early this morning with the G.M. bad news story still fresh in the air.The earnings come out after the closing bell. He is today's action.
Let's watch Ford jump on the opening tomorrow.
Now here is one look at the Call optons after this morning pop. Timing was everything.
This kind of action doesn't happen very often. You can use all of this material as reference material the next time Ford has an earnings report out. Four times a year this stock is prone to this kind of action.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more