Featured

My Addiction To Pfizer Options.

I am sure it will go away but here is today's action. Addiction may be the wrong word, perhaps fascination is better. The DJIA index closed up 588 points on the day, a Wednesday after losing more than that on the previous day. Now Pfizer's one day chart. Can you see how it got dragged up? Now this. A look at it's Puts which expire on Friday. Now this. There was no trading in them during the last 2.5 minutes of trading. In some ways that's a good thing. Could tomorrow's market open down? Here is what it's five day chart now looks like. At 9:32 a.m. this morning it was trading at $25.62 and at 10:02 a.m. it traded down to $24.44. A drop like that on tomorrow's opening would do wonders for these Puts. Let's see what happens.
Post a Comment

Mid Week Reversals On Short Term Options. A Topic Seldom Looked At.

As a writer if you get things wrong you quicky lose all creditability. I understand that. In a blog on Pfizer last week I looked at an entire week of it's trading activities of it's series of 25.00 Calls. The exercise was exhausting. This week I am only going to pinpoint one day of it's trading.
Today is Wednesday. Shown above is one series of Call options on Pfizer which only have two remaining days of trading life left in them before they expire. Most option traders dislike options on stocks in this price range for a number of reasons. Twenty five dollar stocks can wander aimlessly for extended periods of time. I get that. Then why would I be stupid enough to be looking at these Calls at this particular period of time? Two reasons. First, there is the chance Pfizer might rebound on the opening. Why? Well the DJIA closed the day down just shy of 500 points. Trumph does strange things which causes market swings. A rebound upwards could happen tomorrow morning for no reason if a more normal market returns. The second reason that Wednesdays are the one day of the susceptible to mid week reversal. Ai can explain this better. Type in "susceptible to mid-week reversal". That's what I would be looking for in this situation. Now this, it's one day chart.
Look now at the volume of contracts opened in the last 15 minutes of trading. Only 26. I don't understand why more traders aren't looking for a next morning bounce. Now let's move on to the following day and look at this 10:20 a.m. readout.
The $30 cent Calls (thirty dollars) are now $54 (fifty four dollars). That's the bounce I was looking for. Take your money and run before a sense of normalcy returns. Now this.
It's closing reading. It fell back close to where it was trading on the previous day.
This is an excellent example of a mid week reversal. Now on to other things.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more