Featured

Tesla Call Options On A Friday Morning

First, here is what the D.J.I.A index is doing, not that it matters all that much. These Calls are down like 50% from the previous day. Tesla did drop on the previous day, a day in which the market dropped 669 points. Some stocks are having a good morning. Look at Snowflake. Might Tesla wake up and take off again? The same with Apple which had a big fall on the previous day. This kind of nervousness is what Friday morning one day option trading is all about. Some option traders capitalize on situations like this buying instead next weeks out day (five day) options. Let's see what happens. Now this at 12:42 p.m. The DJIA index is creeping up. .. I don't really like the slow creep back up knowing that with any bad market news everything could sell off in a heartbeat. I would just get out. That's me. To be continued. Here is how these Telsa Call were trading at the 3:00 p.m. get out deadline. Now here is how Tesla closed the day. Sometimes taking profits when you see them...
Post a Comment

The Most Expensive Call Option I Have Ever Commented On.

How expensive? $3,250.00. Yikes. It's a hunch I have. A hunch is "a feeling or guess based on intuition rather than known facts". Are you wasting you're time reading about some person you probably don't even know talking about a hunch a stock option? Maybe. Now this. Look at this 30 day Eli Lilly chart.
It's ugly. A few days back I looked at its chart when it looked like this.
At that time I commented on it and called it a "step-down" chart and a precursor to bad things to come. Are we now at a bottom?
Botttons are difficult to predict. Now this. The most expensive Call option I have ever considered.
It cost $3,446.00 dollars U.S. and it expires a week Friday. What we are looking for is a turnaround. The potential profits in holding this Call on a good day is like a gain of $100.00 an hour. Would you like to bank your money here? Here we are now 30 minutes later. Look at this printout. It is already up more than $100.00.
This is a different way to be thinking about option trading.**** BUT WAIT ON ALL OF THIS. WAIT AND WATCH. WE NEED THE DJIA TO UPTICK FIRST. NEWS OF WHY THIS STOCK IS DROPPED IS STILL MISSING FROM THE EQUATION. YET IT CAN'T DROP FOREVER. IT'S GOING TO TAKE NEWS ON WHY THIS STOCK IS DROPPING OR AN UPTICK IN THE MARKETS BEFORE IT CAN TURN AROUND. Now this, the closing readout on the day.
A profit of $157.00. Here is a chart showing how it traded on the day.
If you look at this chart the 11:19 a.m. time period was to early a time period to be looking for a rebound. Waiting until the 2:20 p.m. mark would have produced much better results. You can see that these Calls traded down to $29.00 or $2,900.00. Catching reversals on big drops like this is a game some traders know how to play. That plus Wednesdays are known to be the day of the week for market reversals. More examples of this kind of trading is to follow. ** A Thursday update. A weak cup shaped recovery continued. Check out the high on these Calls today.
Can you see the high on the day of $44.98. That's up from the $34.46 when we first started looking at this exercise. That's a one thousand dollar gain which is not bad. Learning this technique requires faith in cup formation charts.** Here is how they closed the week on Friday January 30th.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more