Featured

Looking For Something To Buy On A Tuesday Afternoon?

Trumph says the war is over but is it? Exxon sells off on that news. Does this make the Calls a good buying opportunity? It's 2:38 p.m.. The Calls shown below expire in two days. Moves downwards this much in a one day time period are somewhat rare. Let's see what happens. This leads us to a new topic. Overtrading. Avid daytraders can pick the days they like to trade the best. I like Fridays for it's one day options and for it's late in the day look at it's "next-week-out-options" which might at that point of the day be somewhat mispriced. Resets in pricings can sometimes happen over the weekend which become apparent in the first few hour or so of Monday morning trading. I also like Wednesday for mid week reversals. The biggest trap are Thursday options that expire the following day. These are the ones that seem to lose the "time value" aspect of the equation the most quickly. Finally Tuesday options that expire the next day, or two days away o...
Post a Comment

Tesla On A Friday Morning.

The concept of playing last day until expiring Tesla options scares most people. Maybe it shouldn't. In the list of the five most actively options on all companies traded Tesla would come it at about number two. My next statement is going to sound kind strange. One strategy often employed by dedicated option players is to look for quick reversals on Telsa on the opening on Friday mornings with their soon to be expiring options (at 3:00 p.m.) and see how this situation plays itself out. That's what has happened in the first chart shown below. It sounds silly yet watch them for yourself for the next four or five weeks and see how often this pattern plays itself out. Now here is it's chart at 9:56 a.m. this morning.
It's flat after a dip on the opening. That flat line on the top of the chart shows you where it started the day. The dip on the opening dropped these Calls down to $.85 cents. Now here is it's five day chart. You can see this morning's dip in it's chart.
Now to further set the stage here is how it's Calls and Puts are tradng, at least one series of them.
Now this. Anyone who bought the Calls on the opening dip would have already more than doubled their money.
The action in Telsa options in the first few minutes of trading is often the best action of the week. Yet I am not saying it's easy to play them. *** Here is how Tesla closed the day.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more