Featured

Exxon Has Just Had Like Four Days Of Going Up.

Exxon just broke it's previous three month high. Now it's five day chart. Now it's chart as of 10:42 a.m. this morning. Today is Wednesday. The markets are closing today at 1:00 pm., then closed tomorrow for Christmas and then open again for a full trading day on Friday. Now this. A look first the Calls which are $.30 cents "out-of-the-money" and expire on Friday. Now the Puts which are already like $.30 "in-the-money". Expectations are that the stock is going to go up and that there is still a full day of trading on Friday. Here is what the markets and what the price of oil are doing. Can you see how traders have a preference for the Call options and are hoping Exxon continues it's natural progression upwards. They are prepared to pay somewhat of a premium to be positioned in this situation. I don't know what the outcome is going to be. Nobody does. As a reader can you see the complexities of trying to figure out this outcome? My point is...
Post a Comment

One Week Options On A Monday Morning

Are you paying to much for time value if you buy in on a Monday morning? Consider these two different Call option series this morning, a Monday. These are 10:08 a.m and 10:13 a.m. readings. 1) Mcdonalds.
.....
2) Lowes.
....
I am not a big fan of purchasing Monday morning one week options because I find they tend to be worth less closer to the end of the day. Let's follow this and see what happens. To be continued. The markets closed strong. It's not often the Nasdaq goes up over 500 points in one day.
Remember I said I am not a big fan of buying one week options on a Monday morning. The Calls on Mcdonalds closed up. The 300 series of Calls went from $1.39 at 10:08 a.m. to $2.23 at the close..
The Calls on Lowes closed up with a bid and ask of "$440.00 and $620.00" on the close with only 15 contracts trading on the day.
Here now is it's five day chart.
I say take your money and run. I don't like holding overnight option positions at this early stage on the week. Things can go the opposite way very quickly. *** On Tuesday the DJIA was up 559 points and Lowes was up a touch again.
The interest in them is very low. Now lets finish off this blog by looking at Friday morning's chart. First McDonalds.
Yesterday the 300 series of Calls were trading at over $10.00. Now Lowes.
A lot can happen in five days.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more