Featured

Boeing - If It Doesn't Go Your Way Just Get Out.

This could be an exciting opportunity. ...... Now its one day chart. Ay 2:49 p.m.with the DJIA average up strongly the stock is still struggling. This could be another one of those cases where it is a good time to get out (see our Exxon blog today) for the same advise. Wednesdays can be turn around days for "one-week" or in this case "three-day" options but if things are slow in happening it's just best to bail and never look back. It's called day trading.
Post a Comment

Deere Had Earnings and Caterpillar Took No Notice

Deere had earnings which as usual were open to interpretation. Here is how it traded on the week.
It's difficult to know who to believe.
Was Caterpillar affected by any of this news? Not really. It was up $25.33 on the week.
One of it's divisions is starting to attract more attention.
Options in both of these companies are thinly traded. I have talked about this before. Deere was down on the week and Caterpillar was up on the week. One of the problems with trying to play options on both of these stocks is that they can move up or down like $5.00 on any given day on no news. Buying on the dips if you look at the Caterpillar chart seems to be a way to profit on it's options. On Deere it was to buy Puts before it's quarterly earnings report came out. So where does that put us now? Looking at Deere Calls is one suggestion thinking it's oversold. Deere was down $22.75 on the week. Yet wait, look at the volume of trading in these two longer term Deere Call options.
My point is that no one is trading them so that has to tell us something. Now this, the next week's Call options on Deere. Remember it was down $22.75 on the week. It's earnings were actually not bad it's just that this John May fellow talked the price down. That woud make his job easier to do going forward. On a weak Monday morning opening these might be something to look at given that Friday's action on a day that the markets closed at 1:00 p.m. might be overdone. Here is Friday's chart.
Charts like this are known to reverse. Here are it's one week (the first week of December) Call options to look at.
To me they look cheap but there might be some further downside on Monday as late to the action investors bail on last weeks poor performance. Will Call option traders soon be jumping into these ones? To be continued. A Monday update. Opportunities existed to get in on Monday morning.
Look at how few traders found value found value in this offering. Now shown also are the January 26th 470 and 480 Calls. These two series are attracting more interest.
To be continued.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more