Featured

My Addiction To Pfizer Options.

I am sure it will go away but here is today's action. Addiction may be the wrong word, perhaps fascination is better. The DJIA index closed up 588 points on the day, a Wednesday after losing more than that on the previous day. Now Pfizer's one day chart. Can you see how it got dragged up? Now this. A look at it's Puts which expire on Friday. Now this. There was no trading in them during the last 2.5 minutes of trading. In some ways that's a good thing. Could tomorrow's market open down? Here is what it's five day chart now looks like. At 9:32 a.m. this morning it was trading at $25.62 and at 10:02 a.m. it traded down to $24.44. A drop like that on tomorrow's opening would do wonders for these Puts. Let's see what happens.
Post a Comment

Boeing Calls Monday and Tuesday

Why am I hung up on writing about options on Boeing? Here is why. Here is how the markets are trading today (a Monday) minutes before the closng bell.
It's a strong upwards trading day after a 600 point drop on Friday. Now it's "one-day" trading chart.
Now here is how the Call options traded / closed on the day.
This chart in red ink shows a rebound that lasted the entire afternoon. That's the type of rebounds to look for, rebounds that are not complicated. Did Tesla sell off around 11:30 a.m.? Yes.
Many other stocks opened strong and stayed strong as the DJIA shot up 585.00 points on the day with a super strong closing. Playing Boeing options is both an exercise in trading Boeing and an exercise of trading the strenght in the overall markets. .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Now for part two of this blog. A look the next day, Tuesday's action. This time the DJIA was down slightly on the day.
Now here is it's one day trading chart.
Now here is how the Call options traded/ closed on the day. Interday the 220 series of Calls almost doubled in price again! This time the volume of trading in the Calls was down about 40% from the previous day as the strenght in the DJIA was somewhat mutted.
Now the trading action in the Calls during the day. It looks the same. Line this chart up with the chart on the previous day!
Let's dissect this time period into even a shorter period of time.
My point is that watching the markets is in part an exercise of looking for chart formations that you feel comfortable trading. With day trading one day charts in conjunction with five day charts is everything. That plus getting a handle on news releases. Now look at Boeing's five day chart.
What's going to happen tomorrow? I never feel comfortable going back to the well for a third time.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more