Featured

A "Love-Hate" Relationship With Pfizer Options

Pfizer options often disappoint however there are times when they can be your best friend. Let me try and explain. First look at it's five day chart. The 24.50 series of Calls have more than doubled in price in two days. Volatile stocks like this in this price range attract an inordinate amount of attention when it comes to option trading and it only flares up during these brief periods when the stock has these extreme price moves. Look at the open interest in this one series of Calls below. It's quite substantial. Now for a simple calculation. If the stock moves up today to $25.00 these $.37 cent options on the 24.50 series of options will probably move up to the $.55 cent range. Buy and sell let's say a block of 25 contracts and you will be rewarded with a nice gain. Now let we share this one observation. Here is a look at how the D.J.I.A. traded yesterday. It was down. Who wants to be holding short term Call options overnight if the markets are souring? Wouldn't t...
Post a Comment

$Home Depot And $Lowes On A Wednesday Morning

These are both what I would call "Big Boy"stocks which are somewhat volatile. Their price movements are often dictated by economic reports. Today is a Wednesday which is mid week in the weekly trading session. Options purchased this morning that expire this Friday will give you one full day of trading today and two more full days of trading. Both of these two stocks are up about $10.00 per shsre in the last two days. Both stocks can move either way. My focus is on the Puts which are both somewhat expensive. They have to be because these stocks are so volatile.Catch the right direction and you will do quite well. Retail stocks like this have a wide following and the price of both of these stocks can be affected by a number of differing ecomomic reports. For this reason the timing of swings can be somewhat of a guessing game. Now this. New home sales in the U.S.A. where down 6.2% in March and down 11.3% in April. It's May numbers are not released until June 24th. Now Home Depot's five and one day chart as of eleven a.m..
............
It's hanging tough with the markets being down.....
.... Now it's Puts.
Now Lowes.
Both stocks are hanging in on a day the DJIA is down. ( LOWES IS 74% OWNED BY INSTITUTIONS AND HOME DEPOT IS 71% OWNED BY INSTITIONS). With the markets falling and these two stocks staying strong it seems counterintuitive to be thinking about the downside. Once again this is one of the reasons I find playing options on both of these stocks so difficult. Now at 12:38 p.m. Look at how Lowe has become defensive in their option pricings.
....
Let's see what happens. The D.J.I.A. ended up closing down by 953 points and both of these stock held tight. What a missed opportunity ... other stocks had sizeable declines.
....
Now Home Depot....
....
Both of these stocks should be plays on recessionary concerns however in this instance that doesn't seem to be the case. Yes these are difficult companies to play options on. To be continued.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more