Featured

Drone Stocks On A Really Bad Day

I did the math. The average one day drop on Friday on these five drone stocks was 13.93%. The D.J.I.A index on that same day was down almost 600 points. I don't play options on any of the stocks in this sector of the market.
$Unusual Machines the most expensive of the six dropped down the most at 18.36% It now trades at $26.37. It has weekly options on it. Here are it's thirty and five day charts. What a nice run upwards it had last month.
...
Now this. A look at how one series of it's Call options closed out the day.
I see something I don't like. It's the small open interest numbers. That to me means poor liquidity whenever it comes time to execute a trade. That plus after such a big recent run upwards you would expect to see higher volumes of option trades. I have often talked about how I like trading $Walmart options because the bids and asks are so tight with instant fills. What about the other mentioned drone stocks on this list? Are they more playable? Let's go down the list. $Draganfly.
Once again there is a liquidity issue but that's not as important this time because the options series are staggered in one month intervals so you can avoid playing it's "last week" options. That said, the next series of options on it expire on June 18th. That does buy some time. I can't get to excited about this stock given that it's revenue growth seems to be stuck going sideways.
$Red Cat holdings. Look at it's five and thirty day charts. Both of these charts look like they are in trouble.
Now $Archer. Here is it's chart.
Look at the insane number of stocks trading on it. Like 54.3 million shares in one day! ($Jobi in this same list has the second highest number of shares trading).
Look at this readout of it's six month out ten series of Call options.They are actively traded which is something I like.
Any move in Archer Aviations stock's price upwards in the next month or two would well reward the holders of these longer term Call options. Once again it's nice to see the higher volumes of contracts traded. Next is $Airo. I don't like the way it's option series are structered. Look at this.
The spreads between it's option series listed are to far apart. For that reason they don't interest me. Then there is Jobi Aviations. It's stock seems to be in trouble.
It could be a great company however it's difficult to make a case for wanting to play the upside on this one at this particular period of time. A final comment. All of these stocks seem to trade with a "pack mentality". Catch them when they are hot. Right now they are not.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more